Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Predictions for Tuesday December 2 2025

By: Kim Smith Published 12/02/2025, 12:05 AM ET

The Oklahoma City Thunder (20–1, 10–1 away) head to Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors (11–10, 7–2 home) in an 11:00 PM ET Western Conference clash airing on NBC and Peacock. Oklahoma City rides into San Francisco on a 12-game winning streak and looks every bit like a title contender, while the Warriors aim to protect home floor with an upset bid. For more analysis on top matchups around the league, check out our daily free NBA Picks for expert predictions and betting insight.

Team Overview: Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City enters Tuesday night as the NBA’s hottest team, boasting a 20–1 record and a perfect 10–0 mark over their last 10 games. The Thunder average 122.2 points per contest while allowing just 106.7—one of the league’s best two-way differentials. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues his MVP-caliber season with 32.5 PPG on elite efficiency, and the Thunder’s ball movement, depth, and defensive pressure have overwhelmed opponents. OKC is also shooting nearly 50% from the field and has shown the ability to win both high-scoring shootouts and grind-out defensive battles. Their last five games include wins over Phoenix, Minnesota, Portland, and Utah, further cementing their dominance.Betting on sports and on the Thunder is easy, but even easier if you use the best sportsbooks.

Team Overview: Golden State Warriors

Golden State sits at 11–10, a team still searching for consistency but dangerous at home with a 7–2 record at Chase Center. The Warriors average 114.5 points per game while giving up 113.6, though recent defensive lapses have been a recurring issue. Stephen Curry continues to lead the charge at 27.9 PPG, keeping the Warriors competitive night in and night out. Their last five games show a mix of highs and lows, including a strong win over New Orleans and a tough loss to Houston. With injuries and rotations fluctuating, Golden State will need significant production from its secondary pieces to keep pace with the explosive Thunder. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for the Warriors with the Novig promo code.

Key Players to Watch

For Oklahoma City, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander remains one of the most efficient and complete scorers in the NBA, attacking all three levels and anchoring the Thunder defense. Chet Holmgren provides elite rim protection, floor spacing, and rebounding, giving OKC a dynamic two-way frontcourt presence. For Golden State, Stephen Curry is the key to everything. His 27.9 PPG on high efficiency remains the heartbeat of the Warriors’ offense. Jonathan Kuminga and Brandin Podziemski also play crucial roles, especially with injuries affecting Golden State’s veteran depth.

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Injury Report

Oklahoma City remains without Alex Caruso and Luguentz Dort until at least December 5, while center Isaiah Hartenstein is out until December 10. Nikola Topic and Thomas Sorber remain long-term absences. For Golden State, Jimmy Butler III, Trayce Jackson-Davis, and Draymond Green are all game-time decisions, while Alex Toohey and Al Horford remain out through December 4.

Matchup Breakdown

OKC enters with massive advantages in efficiency, depth, and chemistry. Their 10.4 steals per game and defensive length present major challenges for a Warriors team that struggles with turnovers. Golden State’s best hope lies in Curry catching fire early and their interior players holding up defensively against Holmgren. However, with OKC dominating both the transition and half-court phases and carrying a +15.5 average point differential over their last 10, the Thunder have a clear path to controlling the pace and tempo from start to finish.

Betting Odds

Despite being the road team, Oklahoma City opened as a dominant 11.5-point favorite with a total set at 221.5. The market reflects OKC’s elite form and Golden State’s injury uncertainty.

Final Score Prediction

Thunder 124, Warriors 110 — Oklahoma City’s elite two-way play and unmatched momentum make them the clear favorite. Unless Curry has one of his signature nuclear performances, the Thunder should roll to their 13th straight victory. Make sure when you place your bet on Thunder vs Warriors you are using the BetMGM bonus code.

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