Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Picks and Prediction for Friday, January 9, 2026
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Oklahoma City heads to FedExForum in Memphis for a 8:00 PM ET tip on FanDuel SN SE, with the Grizzlies listed at +2. The Thunder bring a 31-7 record and a 13-4 road mark, while Memphis sits at 16-21 and has gone 8-10 at home. Oklahoma City is 3-2 over the last five, and Memphis is 1-4 in the last five with an ugly 117-98 loss to Phoenix on Tuesday. Score big in the NBA with our insider NBA picks.
Thunder Outlook
Oklahoma City’s advantage in this matchup starts with shot-making and ball pressure. The Thunder are scoring 121.4 points per game while allowing 108.1, and the offense is built around Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s 31.9 points on 54.8% shooting with 6.4 assists per game. Chet Holmgren adds 18.2 points, 8.3 rebounds, and 1.8 blocks, giving OKC a real rim presence at both ends.
The injury report is important, because Oklahoma City is missing bodies: Alex Caruso (back), Isaiah Hartenstein (calf), Jaylin Williams (heel), and Ousmane Dieng (calf) are out, with Hartenstein listed as the team’s top rebounder at 10.4 per game. Even with that, OKC’s defense has held its own with 10.4 steals and 5.6 blocks per game. If the Thunder keep forcing mistakes and avoid turnovers, the road favorite should win and cover.
Grizzlies Outlook
Memphis is trying to survive without Ja Morant (calf) and several reserves, including Vince Williams Jr. (knee) and Brandon Clarke (calf). Jaren Jackson Jr. leads the scoring at 18.5 points with 1.5 blocks, and Santi Aldama chips in 14.1 points and 6.8 rebounds. The Grizzlies also get playmaking from Cam Spencer at 5.0 assists per game, but shot creation gets tougher late in games without Morant on the floor.
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The bigger issue is that Memphis is giving up 116.6 points per game, and the offense is at 115.2 points per game with a 45% team field goal rate. Memphis has been in shootouts lately, including an overtime 139-136 loss to Philadelphia and a 128-121 loss to the Lakers. That type of scoring is dangerous against an Oklahoma City team that has already shown it can win high-scoring games, like the 129-125 overtime win over Utah on Tuesday.
Thunder vs Grizzlies Pick
Pick: Thunder -2. Oklahoma City’s scoring margin and tough defense point a win and cover, even on the road and even with injuries. Predicted final score: Thunder 126, Grizzlies 114.
Best Picks: Thunder -2, and a Thunder team total over if your book posts one, because OKC’s 121.4 points per game matches up well with Memphis allowing 116.6 per game.
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