Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Thursday, January 29, 2026

By: David Anicetti Published 01/29/2026, 01:35 AM ET
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The Oklahoma City Thunder visit the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday night at Target Center. Oklahoma City is 38–10 overall and first in the Western Conference standings, while Minnesota is 28–19 overall and seventh in the Western Conference standings, and the Timberwolves will be completing a back-to-back after playing on the road Wednesday versus Dallas. Get a betting edge with our free NBA picks.

Game Information

  • Date: Thursday, January 29, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Location: Target Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • TV: Prime Video

Oklahoma City Thunder Preview

Oklahoma City has been one of the top offensive teams all season, averaging 120.8 points per game while allowing 107.6 points per game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the Thunder, averaging 32.1 points per game and also leads the team in assists per game at 6.2. Chet Holmgren anchors the frontcourt with 8.6 rebounds per game and 2.0 blocks per game, and Oklahoma City’s ability to create turnovers shows up in 9.9 steals per game.

On the defensive end, the Thunder have held opponents in check by contesting shots and protecting the paint, and their rebound numbers at 43.6 rebounds per game help limit second-chance points. Oklahoma City’s ball security, averaging 11.6 turnovers per game, keeps possessions effective, and depth has allowed them to sustain pressure without sacrificing scoring. Jalen Williams is out, with Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, and Ajay Mitchell all listed as game-time decisions.

Key Stats – Per Game 

  • Points: 120.8
  • Points Allowed: 107.6
  • Rebounds: 43.6
  • Assists: 25.4
  • Steals: 9.9
  • Blocks: 5.9
  • Turnovers: 11.6

Minnesota Timberwolves Preview

Minnesota’s offense is led by Anthony Edwards, who averages 29.7 points per game and is the team’s primary scoring option. The Timberwolves also get consistent production from Julius Randle, who averages 22,2 points per game and leads the team in assists with 5.4 per game. Rudy Gobert anchors the paint with 11.3 rebounds per game and 1.7 blocks per game, giving Minnesota a strong interior presence on both ends of the floor.

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The Timberwolves score 119.0 points per game but allow 114.3 points per game, making it important for Minnesota to control the glass, where they average 45.1 rebounds per game, and limit extra possessions. Minnesota averages 26.7 assists per game, though its 13.9 turnovers per game can stall possessions and give opponents more scoring opportunities. Terrence Shannon Jr. is out, and Anthony Edwards and Leonard Miller are listed as game-time decisions.

Key Stats – Per Game

  • Points: 119.0
  • Points Allowed: 114.3
  • Rebounds: 45.1
  • Assists: 26.7
  • Steals: 8.6
  • Blocks: 5.6
  • Turnovers: 13.9

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

Oklahoma City’s scoring and play on defense give the Thunder the edge in this matchup. Minnesota has the talent to keep this close, particularly if Anthony Edwards plays, but Oklahoma City’s ability to force turnovers and control the paint will allow the Thunder to dictate tempo, pulling away late to win. Final Score Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder wins and covers ATS, 119-106.

Best Picks

  • Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Under

How To Bet This Matchup

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