Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 24 2026
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The Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs continue the Western Conference Finals on Sunday, May 24, 2026, with Game 4 taking place at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET with coverage available on NBC and Peacock. Oklahoma City enters the matchup holding a 2-1 series lead after taking Game 3 on the road. According to the latest odds, the Spurs are listed as 1.5-point favorites with the total set at 219.5 points. San Antonio carries a moneyline of -122 while Oklahoma City is listed at +102. Be ready for all the playoffs action with our free NBA picks.
Previous Game Recap
Oklahoma City earned a 123-108 victory over San Antonio in Game 3 on Friday night to reclaim control of the series. The Spurs started well and led 31-26 after the opening quarter, but the Thunder responded with a dominant second period and outscored San Antonio 32-20 before halftime. Oklahoma City continued to build momentum in the third quarter with 37 points and never allowed the Spurs to fully recover. The Thunder finished the game shooting 48 percent from the field while knocking down 17 three-pointers in the road victory.
The Thunder received a strong all-around effort from several key contributors. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way with 26 points and 12 assists while converting all 12 of his free throw attempts. Chet Holmgren added 14 points and Isaiah Hartenstein contributed eight rebounds and four assists in the starting lineup. Off the bench, Jared McCain delivered an efficient performance with 24 points on 10-of-21 shooting, while Jaylin Williams added 18 points and connected on five three-pointers. Oklahoma City also finished with 29 assists as a team and committed only 10 turnovers.
San Antonio was paced by Victor Wembanyama, who finished with 26 points while shooting 8-of-15 from the field and adding two blocked shots. Devin Vassell scored 20 points and collected seven rebounds, while De'Aaron Fox added 15 points and six assists. Stephon Castle finished with 14 points and seven assists despite struggling from the field. The Spurs shot 43 percent overall and made 13 three-pointers, but the team committed 15 turnovers and was unable to slow down Oklahoma City’s offensive pace during the second half.
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Thunder Looking to Tighten Their Grip on the Series
Oklahoma City enters Game 4 with a 64-18 overall record and a strong 30-10 mark away from home this season. The Thunder have won four of their last five games overall and recently won over San Antonio in back-to-back contests before Sunday’s matchup. Oklahoma City also recently won over the Lakers twice during the previous playoff round, including a convincing 131-108 road victory. Their only loss in the last five games came in a 122-115 double-overtime defeat against the Spurs in Game 1 of this series.
The Thunder have been one of the league’s best offensive teams this season, averaging 119.0 points per game while allowing 107.3 points defensively. Oklahoma City is shooting 48 percent from the field and averaging 44.1 rebounds and 25.8 assists per game. Defensively, the Thunder have created problems with active hands by averaging 9.7 steals per contest. The team has also averaged 5.5 blocks per game this season.
One of the biggest strengths for Oklahoma City entering this matchup is its ability to generate balanced offensive production. In Game 3, the Thunder had several players contribute offensively while also taking care of the basketball with only 10 turnovers. Their defensive pressure has also been important throughout the postseason, especially with the ability to force turnovers and create transition opportunities. Oklahoma City has already proven capable of winning in San Antonio during this series and now has a chance to take a commanding lead.
Spurs Hoping to Respond on Their Home Floor
San Antonio comes into Game 4 with a 62-20 overall record and an impressive 32-8 record at home this season. The Spurs had won three of their previous four games before the Game 3 loss and recently won over Minnesota twice in dominant fashion during the earlier playoff round. San Antonio also recently won over Oklahoma City in a 122-115 double-overtime battle in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals before dropping the next two contests.
The Spurs averaged 119.8 points per game this season while allowing 106.2 points defensively. San Antonio matched Oklahoma City with a 48 percent team shooting percentage and also held advantages in rebounds and assists by averaging 47.0 rebounds and 28.1 assists per game. The Spurs have also provided solid interior defense with 5.5 blocks per contest this season.
A major focus for San Antonio entering this game will likely be ball security and defensive consistency. The Spurs committed 15 turnovers in Game 3 and struggled to contain Oklahoma City once the Thunder offense found rhythm during the second and third quarters. San Antonio still has one of the better home records in the league, and the combination of strong rebounding numbers and offensive efficiency gives the team an opportunity to respond in a critical playoff situation.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs Picks and Prediction
Side Pick:
- Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5
Oklahoma City enters this matchup with momentum after winning two straight games in the series, including the recent 123-108 road victory in San Antonio. The Thunder have also won four of their last five games overall and continue to play efficiently on both ends of the floor. Oklahoma City’s ability to limit turnovers while forcing mistakes defensively has been a major factor in the series. With the Thunder already proving they can win at Frost Bank Center, taking the points with Oklahoma City looks like the stronger option here.
Total Pick:
- Over 219.5
The offensive numbers from both teams point toward another high-scoring matchup. Oklahoma City averages 119.0 points per game while San Antonio averages 119.8 points per contest. The first three games of the series have produced scores of 122-115, 122-113, and 123-108, showing consistent offensive production from both sides. With several elite scorers involved and both teams capable of shooting efficiently from the field, the over looks appealing once again in Game 4.
Final Score Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder 116 – San Antonio Spurs 113
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