Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Monday February 9 2026
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Monday’s Kings vs Pelicans prediction opens a Western Conference matchup that has produced tight finishes and late drama in recent meetings. With Sacramento spiraling and New Orleans coming off a confidence-boosting road win, this game sets up as a strong opportunity for bettors looking to take advantage of market movement while building out smart NBA picks.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Pelicans -6
- Total Pick: Over 233
- Projected Final Score: Pelicans 121, Kings 114
Odds and Line Movement
The market has steadily pushed this number toward New Orleans, with the Pelicans moving from a short favorite into the six to seven point range. The total has also climbed slightly, reflecting Sacramento’s defensive struggles and recent over trends.
Current Odds
| Date | Time | Sacramento | New Orleans | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | 08:24:22AM | +7.5 -106 | -7.5 -114 | NO 89%, NO 59% |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Sacramento | New Orleans | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | 04:13:11PM | +5.5 -108 | -5.5 -112 | |
| 02/08 | 06:15:53PM | +5.5 -106 | -5.5 -114 | |
| 02/08 | 06:16:35PM | +5.5 -106 | -5.5 -114 | |
| 02/08 | 06:17:03PM | +6 -110 | -6 -110 | |
| 02/08 | 06:18:04PM | +6 -110 | -6 -110 | |
| 02/08 | 10:44:29PM | +6 -106 | -6 -114 | NO 57%, NO 60% |
| 02/09 | 12:26:21AM | +6 -110 | -6 -110 | NO 63%, NO 67% |
| 02/09 | 12:58:15AM | +6.5 -110 | -6.5 -110 | NO 63%, NO 67% |
| 02/09 | 07:01:02AM | +7.5 -110 | -7.5 -110 | NO 61%, NO 55% |
| 02/09 | 08:24:22AM | +7.5 -106 | -7.5 -114 | NO 89%, NO 59% |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | 04:13:11PM | 233 -108 | 233 -112 | |
| 02/08 | 04:34:48PM | 232.5 -114 | 232.5 -106 | |
| 02/08 | 06:15:53PM | 232.5 -114 | 232.5 -106 | |
| 02/08 | 06:16:55PM | 232.5 -114 | 232.5 -106 | |
| 02/08 | 06:17:03PM | 232.5 -114 | 232.5 -106 | |
| 02/08 | 06:18:04PM | 232.5 -114 | 232.5 -106 | |
| 02/09 | 12:06:01AM | 233.5 -108 | 233.5 -112 | |
| 02/09 | 12:19:44AM | 233.5 -106 | 233.5 -114 | |
| 02/09 | 12:31:36AM | 232.5 -106 | 232.5 -114 | |
| 02/09 | 12:31:41AM | 232.5 -112 | 232.5 -108 | |
| 02/09 | 12:32:01AM | 231.5 -110 | 231.5 -110 |
Kings vs Pelicans Key Matchups and Game Preview
This is the first meeting of the season between the Pelicans and Kings after a series of tight games last year. Sacramento won three of the four meetings, but all four were decided by single digits, including one two-point game and another that went to overtime.
New Orleans enters this matchup on a positive note after snapping a three-game losing skid with a 119-115 road win in Minnesota on Friday. Seven of the Pelicans’ last eight games have been on the road, so this homestand comes at an ideal time heading into the All-Star break.
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Sacramento, meanwhile, is in free fall. The Kings have lost 12 straight games, and the defensive issues have been glaring throughout the skid.
During this losing streak, Sacramento’s opponents have scored an average of 120.8 points per game. That trend is a major reason the total has drawn interest on the over.
The Kings’ recent games support that look as well, with Sacramento’s last four contests all going over the total. Over the last 15 games, the Pelicans rank ninth in offensive rating, while the Kings sit 28th in defensive rating.
New Orleans should be in solid shape from a personnel standpoint. Dejounte Murray is the only player listed on the early injury report. Murray has not played this season as he works back from an Achilles injury, but he returned to practice last week and could be nearing a return.
Sacramento’s injury situation is much less stable. Zach LaVine, De’Andre Hunter and Keegan Murray are expected to be out, while Doug McDermott, Domantas Sabonis and Malik Monk are all questionable.
That level of uncertainty makes it difficult to trust Sacramento in any role, especially against a Pelicans team that is trending up offensively.
NO and SAC Betting Trends
Sacramento has lost 12 straight games.
Sacramento’s last four games have gone over the total.
During the Kings’ current losing skid, opponents are averaging 120.8 points per game.
Over the last 15 games, New Orleans ranks ninth in offensive rating.
Over the last 15 games, Sacramento ranks 28th in defensive rating.
NO and SAC Key Injuries and Things To Know
- Dejounte Murray is the only player listed on New Orleans’ early injury report.
- Murray has not played this season as he recovers from an Achilles injury.
- Zach LaVine is expected to be out for Sacramento.
- De’Andre Hunter is expected to be out for Sacramento.
- Keegan Murray is expected to be out for Sacramento.
- Doug McDermott is questionable for Sacramento.
- Domantas Sabonis is questionable for Sacramento.
- Malik Monk is questionable for Sacramento.
Side and Over and Under Picks
- Side Pick: Pelicans -6
- Total Pick: Over 233
Final Score Prediction
This matchup lines up well for New Orleans, especially with Sacramento struggling defensively and dealing with multiple injury concerns. The Pelicans’ offense should be able to generate consistent looks, and Sacramento may have trouble keeping pace if key scorers remain sidelined.
The over also remains attractive based on Sacramento’s defensive form and the recent scoring trends for both teams.
- Projected Final Score: Pelicans 121, Kings 114
How to Wager On Pelicans vs Kings
If you are betting Kings vs Pelicans, the cleanest approach is backing New Orleans in a spot where Sacramento continues to show signs of collapse. The Kings have not been able to slow down opponents, and the injury list only adds to the concern.
The total is also worth targeting. Sacramento’s defensive rating over the last few weeks makes it difficult to ignore the over, especially with New Orleans playing efficient offensive basketball.
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