San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks and Prediction for Tuesday May 26 2026
The San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder meet for Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals on Tuesday, May 26, 2026, at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 PM ET with coverage available on NBC and Peacock. This series has been tightly contested through four games with both teams entering the matchup tied 2-2. Oklahoma City enters as a 5.5-point home favorite with the total set at 215.5 points. The Thunder are listed at -198 on the moneyline while the Spurs come back at +164 heading into this pivotal playoff matchup. Be ready for all the NBA action with our free NBA Picks.
Previous Game Recap
San Antonio recently won over Oklahoma City 103-82 in Game 4 to even the Western Conference Finals at two games apiece. The Spurs controlled the game from the opening quarter after building an early lead and never allowing the Thunder to recover offensively. San Antonio outscored Oklahoma City in every quarter and used a strong defensive effort combined with efficient scoring inside to cruise to the 21-point victory on their home floor.
The Spurs were led by Victor Wembanyama, who delivered a dominant performance with 33 points, eight rebounds, five assists, and three blocked shots while shooting 11-for-22 from the field. Devin Vassell added 13 points with six rebounds and three assists, while Stephon Castle contributed 13 points and six assists. De’Aaron Fox finished with 12 points and 10 rebounds while also adding five assists in a balanced effort. San Antonio finished with 52 rebounds and 25 assists as a team while forcing Oklahoma City into 17 turnovers throughout the game.
Oklahoma City struggled offensively throughout the contest and shot only 33 percent from the field while connecting on just six three-pointers. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder with 19 points and seven assists despite shooting 6-for-15 from the floor. Chet Holmgren added 10 points and nine rebounds while Isaiah Hartenstein chipped in 12 points and seven rebounds. Isaiah Joe scored 11 points off the bench and Kenrich Williams added 10 points, but Oklahoma City never found consistency offensively as the Thunder were held under 90 points for the first time in this series.
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Spurs Looking to Carry Momentum Back to Oklahoma City
San Antonio enters Game 5 with a 62-20 overall record and a strong 29-12 mark on the road this season. The Spurs recently won over Oklahoma City 103-82 in Game 4 after previously recently lost to the Thunder in back-to-back contests by scores of 123-108 and 122-113. Earlier in the series, San Antonio picked up a 122-115 double-overtime victory on the road before closing out the previous playoff round with a 139-109 win over Minnesota. The Spurs have now won three of their last five games entering Tuesday night’s matchup.
The Spurs have been one of the top offensive teams in the league this season, averaging 119.8 points per game while allowing only 104.6 points against per contest. San Antonio has also posted strong team numbers across the board with 47.0 rebounds and 28.1 assists per game while shooting 48 percent from the field. Defensively, the Spurs average 5.5 blocks and 7.5 steals per game, showing the ability to create disruption on both ends of the floor.
One of the biggest strengths for San Antonio throughout the postseason has been balance on both sides of the court. The Spurs have consistently generated rebounds and assists while maintaining one of the better scoring defenses among the remaining playoff teams. Their ability to limit Oklahoma City to only 82 points in Game 4 showed how effective San Antonio can be when controlling tempo and forcing difficult shots.
Thunder Hoping Home Court Provides a Response
Oklahoma City comes into Game 5 with a 64-18 overall record and an outstanding 34-7 record at home this season. The Thunder recently lost to San Antonio 103-82 in Game 4 after previously recently won over the Spurs in consecutive games by scores of 123-108 and 122-113. Earlier in the series, Oklahoma City dropped a 122-115 double-overtime decision before recently winning over the Lakers 115-110 in the previous playoff round. The Thunder have won three of their last five games overall entering this important home matchup.
The Thunder averaged 119.0 points per game during the season while allowing 106.9 points against. Oklahoma City shot 48 percent from the field while averaging 44.1 rebounds and 25.8 assists per game. Defensively, the Thunder generated 9.7 steals per contest, which stands out as one of their top team strengths. Oklahoma City has also matched San Antonio with 5.5 blocks per game this season.
A key factor for Oklahoma City entering Game 5 will be responding offensively after the struggles in Game 4. The Thunder have already shown in this series that they can produce high-scoring performances after putting up 123 and 122 points in their two victories. Playing at home has also been a major advantage for Oklahoma City all season long given the team’s 34-7 record at Paycom Center.
San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks and Prediction
Side Pick:
- Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5
Oklahoma City looks positioned to respond after a difficult performance in Game 4. The Thunder have been dominant at home this season with a 34-7 home record and already picked up two home victories earlier in this series. While San Antonio carries momentum into Game 5, Oklahoma City has consistently shown the ability to bounce back offensively throughout the playoffs. The Thunder’s scoring balance and home-court success give them the edge in what should be another competitive battle.
Total Pick:
- Under 215.5
The under looks appealing after the defensive tone established in Game 4. San Antonio held Oklahoma City to just 82 points while both teams combined for only 185 total points. The Spurs allow only 104.6 points per game this season, while Oklahoma City allows 106.9 points against. With the pressure increasing in a tied series and both defenses capable of limiting scoring stretches, this matchup could once again stay below the posted total.
Final Score Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder 108 – San Antonio Spurs 101
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