Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Picks and Prediction for Friday November 6 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 11/06/2026, 12:05 AM ET

Utah heads to Dallas on Friday night for an 8 PM ET game against the Mavericks at American Airlines Center. It’s an NBA Cup game, and both teams have something to prove. Dallas just lost a close one against San Antonio, while Utah lost to New Orleans on Wednesday. The Mavericks are the better team, but they haven’t exactly been running everybody out of the gym. Utah has been struggling to win games, and I think Dallas has a good opportunity to take advantage. The betting spread and total weren’t available from a verified sportsbook when this article was written. Be ready for all the NBA action with our free NBA picks.

Utah Jazz Have Been Struggling to Score

Utah is 1-7 after losing 120-113 to New Orleans on Wednesday. That’s seven losses in eight games, and the Jazz haven’t been giving themselves much room for mistakes. They also lost 119-97 to San Antonio on Monday and 112-90 to Portland on Saturday. That’s three straight losses, and two of them weren’t particularly close.

The Jazz are averaging around 107.8 points per game while allowing 119. That’s a pretty big difference, and it explains why Utah has been struggling. The offense hasn’t been efficient enough, and the defense has been giving up too many easy baskets. Utah is shooting around 42.8% from the field and 31.6% from three-point range. Those numbers make it difficult to keep up with teams that are scoring consistently.

Here’s what worries me about Utah against Dallas. The Jazz haven’t been getting enough stops, and the Mavericks have been shooting the ball better. Utah can hang around if it gets hot from three, but that’s not something I’d want to count on. The Jazz need to play a much cleaner game defensively than they have lately.

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Dallas Mavericks Have Been Finding Ways to Win

Dallas is 4-4 after losing 112-111 to San Antonio on Wednesday. That’s a tough one, especially after the Mavericks had a chance to steal a road victory against one of the better teams in the West. Dallas also lost 115-100 to Sacramento on Monday, so the Mavericks are trying to avoid a third straight defeat.

The Mavericks are averaging around 112.1 points per game while allowing 112.2. That’s about as even as it gets, and it explains why Dallas has been involved in some close games. The Mavericks are shooting around 47.1% from the field, which is a good deal better than Utah’s 42.8%. That’s an advantage I expect Dallas to use Friday.

What I like about Dallas is the matchup. Utah has been giving up nearly 120 points per game, and the Mavericks should have plenty of opportunities to score. Dallas doesn’t need to be spectacular. It just needs to avoid turnovers, get good looks, and make Utah work defensively. The Mavericks have been inconsistent, but they’re still the team I’d rather back at home.

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Picks and Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Dallas Mavericks

I’m taking Dallas. The Mavericks have lost two straight, and I know that’s not exactly encouraging. But Utah has won once in eight games, and the Jazz are giving up nearly 120 points per night. Dallas has been shooting the ball better and has the home floor. The Mavericks should be able to get enough offense going against Utah’s defense to pull away. I wouldn’t be shocked if the Jazz keep it close for a while, but I think Dallas gets the win.

Total Pick: Under 235.5 Points

I’m leaning under 235.5 if that’s the posted number. Utah has been struggling offensively, and Dallas hasn’t exactly been lighting up the scoreboard lately. The Jazz scored 113 against New Orleans, but they managed only 97 against San Antonio and 90 against Portland. Dallas has been playing close games, and I don’t expect the Mavericks to turn this into a track meet. The concern is Utah’s defense giving up 125 or more, which could push the total higher. But I think the Jazz have trouble keeping up, and we stay below 236.

Final Picks: Dallas Mavericks Moneyline | Under 235.5 Points (if available)

Disclaimer: This preview was completed on November 5, 2026. Betting lines, injuries, and starting lineups may change before tipoff.

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