Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Thursday January 15 2026

By: Kyle Kargel Published 01/15/2026, 08:39 AM ET
Jazz vs Mavericks picks
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Utah vs Dallas picks are on the board as these teams meet again, and this matchup stands out on the slate for bettors searching through todayโ€™s NBA picks. With both clubs dealing with injuries and playing on the second leg of a back-to-back, this game is more about depth, trends, and situational edges than star power.

TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Spread Pick: Utah -1
  • Total Pick: Under 236
  • Projected Final Score: Jazz 118, Mavericks 112

Odds and Line Movement

Current Odds

Date Time Utah Dallas
01/15 08:18:48AM -1 (-110) +1 (-110)

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time Utah Dallas
01/14 10:47:48PM -2.5 (-114) +2.5 (-106)
01/14 10:56:49PM -2 (-114) +2 (-106)
01/14 10:58:01PM -1.5 (-112) +1.5 (-108)
01/14 11:01:11PM -1 (-110) +1 (-110)
01/15 08:18:48AM -1 (-110) +1 (-110)

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under
01/14 11:11:52PM 237 (-110) 237 (-110)
01/15 01:29:22AM 235 (-106) 235 (-114)
01/15 03:58:30AM 236 (-112) 236 (-108)

Key Matchups and Game Preview

Utah has quietly owned this matchup, winning and covering both meetings this season. Even more notable, seven of the last eight meetings between these teams have stayed under the total, pointing to a slower, more physical style when these teams see each other.

Both teams are on the second night of a back-to-back, but Utah handled its situation better on Wednesday despite losing a 128-126 heartbreaker in Chicago. The Jazz were shorthanded without Lauri Markkanen, yet still got a massive boost from Brice Sensabaugh, who poured in 43 points off the bench. Utah leaned heavily on its rotation, with five players logging more than 30 minutes.

Dallas also leaned on its bench in a loss to Denver, as Brandon Williams and Caleb Martin combined for 35 points. The problem for the Mavericks is what followed. Cooper Flagg and Daniel Gafford both suffered ankle injuries and were unable to finish the game, adding to an already lengthy injury list.

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Assuming Markkanen returns for Utah, the Jazz should have the clearer path offensively. Dallas is missing too many frontcourt pieces to reliably control the paint, and on tired legs, that disadvantage becomes even more pronounced.

  • Utah is 6-1 against the spread in its last seven road games.
  • Seven of the last eight meetings between these teams have gone under the total.
  • Utah has won and covered both meetings this season.

Key Injuries and Things To Know UTA and DAL

  • Lauri Markkanen missed Wednesdayโ€™s game but is expected to return for Utah.
  • Dallas is dealing with multiple injuries, including Cooper Flagg and Daniel Gafford, who both left Wednesdayโ€™s game early.
  • The Mavericks injury list already includes Max Christie, Anthony Davis, Dereck Lively II, Kyrie Irving, and Dante Exum.

Side and Over Under Picks

  • Side: Utah -1
  • Total: Under 236

Final Score Prediction

Utah 118, Dallas 112

How to Wager On Utah vs Dallas

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