Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers Picks and Predictions for Tuesday April 28 2026
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The Anaheim Ducks travel to face the Edmonton Oilers in Game 5 of the Western Conference First Round at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta, on Tuesday, April 28, 2026, with puck drop set for 10:00 PM and coverage available on TNT, truTV, and HBO Max. Anaheim enters this matchup with a 3-1 series lead and a chance to clinch the first-round series on the road. At the time of this writing, Edmonton is listed at -175 on the moneyline, while Anaheim comes in at +145, with the total set at 6.5 goals. Make sure you are ready for all the playoff action with our Free NHL picks.
Previous Game Recap
Anaheim recently won over Edmonton 4-3 in overtime in Game 4, taking a 3-1 lead in the series. Edmonton opened the game with a 2-0 edge after the first period, but Anaheim responded with two goals in the second to tie it. Both teams scored once in the third period before the Ducks finished the game in overtime, earning a major home victory and pushing the Oilers to the brink.
For Edmonton, Connor McDavid helped drive the offense with two assists and three shots, while Evan Bouchard added a goal and an assist from the blue line. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Kasperi Kapanen each scored, giving the Oilers production from multiple spots. Jake Walman also contributed an assist, while Tristan Jarry stopped 34 of 38 shots and finished with an .895 save percentage across 62:29 of ice time.
Anaheim’s attack was spread throughout the lineup, with Cutter Gauthier, Mikael Granlund, Ryan Poehling, and Jeffrey Viel each scoring once. John Carlson delivered two assists, while Jackson LaCombe also added two assists and logged a heavy workload. Leo Carlsson, Alex Killorn, and Mason McTavish each contributed an assist as well, helping Anaheim complete the comeback. In goal, Lukas Dostal stopped 24 of 27 shots and finished with an .889 save percentage across 62:10.
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Anaheim Pushes for the Finish Line
The Ducks enter Game 5 with a 43-33-6 record and a 19-20-2 mark away from home. Anaheim has controlled the series lately, recently won over Edmonton 4-3 in overtime, recently won over Edmonton 7-4, and recently won over Edmonton 6-4 after recently lost to Edmonton 4-3 in the series opener. The Ducks also recently won over Nashville 5-4 before the playoff matchup began, giving them four wins across their last five games.
Anaheim is averaging 3.23 goals per game while allowing 3.51 goals against. The Ducks average 30.8 shots per game and allow 28.4 shots against. On special teams, Anaheim has scored 49 power-play goals with an 18.6 percent success rate, while allowing 61 power-play goals against with a 76.4 percent penalty-kill rate. The Ducks have also scored eight shorthanded goals.
A key strength for Anaheim is its shot generation. The Ducks average 30.8 shots per game, which is higher than Edmonton’s listed average, and that gives Anaheim a steady path to creating chances. The concern is defensive, as Anaheim allows 3.51 goals per game, but the Ducks have still found ways to win high-scoring games throughout this series.
Edmonton Tries to Extend the Series at Home
The Oilers come into this matchup with a 41-30-11 record and a 22-14-5 home mark. Edmonton recently lost to Anaheim 4-3 in overtime, recently lost to Anaheim 7-4, and recently lost to Anaheim 6-4 after recently won over Anaheim 4-3 in the series opener. Before the series began, the Oilers recently won over Vancouver 6-1, but the last three playoff results have all gone against them.
Edmonton is averaging 3.44 goals per game while allowing 3.23 goals against. The Oilers average 29.7 shots per game and allow 26.7 shots against. Their power play has produced 68 goals with a 30.6 percent success rate, while their penalty kill has allowed 49 power-play goals against with a 77.8 percent success rate. Edmonton has also scored six shorthanded goals.
The biggest strength for Edmonton is its power-play production. The Oilers have the stronger power-play percentage in this matchup at 30.6 percent, and their 3.44 goals per game also gives them a clear offensive foundation. However, the recent results show Anaheim has been able to keep pace and win close, high-scoring games, leaving Edmonton needing a sharper response at Rogers Place.
Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers Picks and Prediction
Moneyline Pick
- Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim on the moneyline at +145 is the preferred side. Edmonton is favored at home, but the Ducks have recently won over the Oilers three straight times and now hold a 3-1 series lead. Anaheim has also scored at least four goals in each of the first four games listed in this series, while Edmonton has recently lost to Anaheim in three consecutive games. With the Ducks carrying the better current results and the chance to close out the series, the value leans toward Anaheim as the underdog.
Total Pick
- Over 6.5
The total is set at 6.5 goals, and the lean is toward the over. The recent games between these teams have produced plenty of offense, with the last four meetings finishing 4-3, 7-4, 6-4, and 4-3. Edmonton averages 3.44 goals per game, while Anaheim averages 3.23, and both teams have allowed more than three goals per game. With the provided series results repeatedly landing at seven or more total goals, the over is the stronger play.
Final Score Prediction: Anaheim Ducks 4 – Edmonton Oilers 3
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