Anaheim Ducks vs Vegas Golden Knights Picks and Prediction for Monday May 4 2026
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The Anaheim Ducks and Vegas Golden Knights open the West Second Round at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, on Monday, May 4, 2026, at 9:30 PM ET, with coverage on ESPN. Anaheim enters with a 43-33-6 record and a 19-20-2 road mark, while Vegas comes in at 39-26-17 with a 20-12-9 home record. The Golden Knights are listed at -166 on the moneyline and -1.5 at +150, while the Ducks are +140 on the moneyline and +1.5 at -180. The total is set at 6.5 goals, with the over at +105 and the under at -125. Be ready for all the NHL playoff action with our free NHL picks.
Previous Game Recap
Anaheim advanced with a 5-2 win over Edmonton in Game 6 of the West First Round, closing out the series 4-2. The Ducks jumped ahead early with three goals in the first period, added another in the second, and finished the game with one more in the third. Edmonton scored once in the first and once in the third, but Anaheim controlled the scoreboard throughout and completed a strong series-clinching victory.
For Anaheim, Leo Carlsson had a major game with one goal and two assists, while Cutter Gauthier added one goal and one assist on five shots. Chris Kreider also delivered one goal and two assists, and Troy Terry matched that production with one goal, two assists, and five shots. Ryan Poehling added a goal on three shots, while Lukas Dostal stopped 25 of 27 shots and finished with a .926 save percentage.
Vegas closed its previous series with a 5-1 win over Utah in Game 6, also winning that series 4-2. Mitch Marner led the Golden Knights with two goals and one assist on seven shots, while Brett Howden, Colton Sissons, and Cole Smith each scored. Ivan Barbashev, Jack Eichel, Mark Stone, Noah Hanifin, Kaedan Korczak, Brayden McNabb, and Shea Theodore each contributed an assist, while Carter Hart stopped 22 of 23 shots and finished with a .957 save percentage. 
Anaheim Brings First-Round Momentum Into Las Vegas
The Ducks enter this second-round opener with a 43-33-6 record and a 19-20-2 record away from home. Anaheim has recently won over Edmonton 5-2, 4-3 in overtime, 7-4, and 6-4, while recently losing to Edmonton 4-1. That gives the Ducks four wins in the last five games provided, including the previous playoff game result that moved them into this round.
Anaheim is averaging 3.23 goals per game while allowing 3.51 goals against per game. The Ducks average 30.8 shots per game and allow 28.4 shots against per game. They have 49 power-play goals with an 18.6 percent power-play rate, while allowing 61 power-play goals against with a 76.4 percent penalty kill. Anaheim has also scored eight short-handed goals and has not allowed a short-handed goal.
The biggest strength for Anaheim is recent offensive production. The Ducks have scored at least four goals in four of the last five games provided, and they enter this matchup averaging slightly more goals per game than Vegas. The concern is defensive, as Anaheim is allowing 3.51 goals per game and has the higher goals-against average of the two teams.
Vegas Opens the Round With Home-Ice Confidence
The Golden Knights enter Game 1 with a 39-26-17 record and a 20-12-9 home record. Vegas has recently won over Utah 5-1, 5-4 in double overtime, and 5-4 in overtime, while recently losing to Utah 4-2 and 3-2. The Golden Knights have won three of their last five games provided and enter this matchup off a series-clinching win.
Vegas is averaging 3.22 goals per game while allowing 2.95 goals against per game. The Golden Knights average 29.0 shots per game and allow only 24.4 shots against per game. They have 58 power-play goals with a 24.6 percent power-play rate, while allowing 38 power-play goals against with an 81.4 percent penalty kill. Vegas has also scored six short-handed goals and has not allowed a short-handed goal.
The key strength for Vegas is the defensive and special-teams profile. The Golden Knights allow fewer goals per game, fewer shots per game, fewer power-play goals against, and own the stronger penalty kill percentage. Their power play also has a clear edge over Anaheim’s, which could matter in a playoff opener where special teams often swing momentum.
Anaheim Ducks vs Vegas Golden Knights Picks and Prediction
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bruce Marshall | +8,742.00 |
| 2 |  Bryan Power | +3,958.00 |
| 3 |  Sean Higgs | +2,820.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,870.00 |
| 5 |  Steve Seagrave | +1,832.00 |
Moneyline Pick
- Vegas Golden Knights Moneyline
Vegas is the pick because the Golden Knights have the stronger defensive profile and home-ice setting. Anaheim has been scoring well recently, but Vegas allows fewer goals per game, fewer shots against per game, and has the better penalty kill percentage. The Golden Knights also enter off a 5-1 win and have the stronger power-play rate at 24.6 percent. With Vegas at home and holding advantages in goals allowed, shots allowed, and special teams, the moneyline is the preferred side.
Total Pick
- Over 6.5
The lean is toward the over because both teams are coming off 5-goal performances and both have shown recent scoring upside. Anaheim has recently scored 5, 4, 7, and 6 goals in four of its last five games, while Vegas has scored 5, 5, and 5 in its last three wins. The Ducks average 3.23 goals per game and the Golden Knights average 3.22, while Anaheim also allows 3.51 goals per game. Based only on the provided data, this matchup has enough offensive indicators to lean over the total.
Final Score Prediction: Vegas Golden Knights 4 – Anaheim Ducks 3
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