Anaheim Ducks vs Vegas Golden Knights Picks and Prediction for Tuesday May 12 2026
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The Anaheim Ducks visit the Vegas Golden Knights in Game 5 of the Western Conference Second Round on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The series is tied 2-2 after Anaheim evened things up in the previous matchup. Puck drop is scheduled for 9:30 PM, with coverage on ESPN. Vegas enters as the moneyline favorite at -155, while Anaheim is listed at +130. The total is set at 6.5 goals, with Anaheim +1.5 on the puck line at -192 and Vegas -1.5 at +160. Get ready to hit the ice skating with our free NHL picks.
Previous Game Recap
Anaheim recently won over Vegas by a 4-3 final score in Game 4, tying the series at 2-2. The Ducks opened with a 2-1 lead after the first period, and both teams traded goals the rest of the way. Anaheim added one goal in the second and one more in the third, while Vegas also scored once in each period, but the Golden Knights could not complete the comeback.
Vegas had strong individual performances despite the loss. Jack Eichel finished with two assists and won 10 of 16 faceoffs, while Mitch Marner added three assists and logged 24:08 of ice time. Pavel Dorofeyev, Tomas Hertl, and Brett Howden each scored for the Golden Knights. Carter Hart faced 23 shots and made 19 saves, finishing with an .826 save percentage.
Anaheim’s offense was led by Cutter Gauthier, who recorded three assists and put four shots on goal. Mikael Granlund, Alex Killorn, Beckett Sennecke, and Ian Moore each scored for the Ducks, while Killorn and Sennecke also added assists. Lukas Dostal made 18 saves on 21 shots in the victory, and Anaheim finished the game with enough timely scoring to hold off Vegas.
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Anaheim Ducks Seeking Another Road Answer
Anaheim enters Game 5 with a 43-33-6 overall record and a 19-20-2 mark away from home. The Ducks recently won over Vegas 4-3 after recently lost to Vegas 6-2 in the game before that. Anaheim also recently won over Vegas 3-1 on the road, recently lost to Vegas 3-1, and recently won over Edmonton 5-2. The previous playoff result gives Anaheim a chance to carry momentum into Las Vegas with the series now even.
The Ducks averaged 3.23 goals per game while allowing 3.51 goals against per game. Anaheim averaged 30.8 shots per game and allowed 28.4 shots against. The power play scored 49 goals with an 18.6 percent rate, while the penalty kill sat at 76.4 percent. Anaheim also recorded eight shorthanded goals.
The key concern for Anaheim is the defensive side, as the Ducks allowed 3.51 goals per game during the season. Still, they have enough offensive production to stay dangerous, led by Cutter Gauthier’s 69 points and 41 goals. Anaheim has already shown it can recently win over Vegas both at home and on the road in this series.
Vegas Golden Knights Return Home with Pressure
Vegas enters this matchup with a 39-26-17 overall record and a 20-12-9 home record. The Golden Knights recently lost to Anaheim 4-3 after recently won over the Ducks 6-2 in the prior meeting. Vegas also recently lost to Anaheim 3-1, recently won over Anaheim 3-1, and recently won over Utah 5-1. With the series tied 2-2, the Golden Knights now return to T-Mobile Arena looking to regain control.
The Golden Knights averaged 3.22 goals per game while allowing 2.95 goals against per game. Vegas averaged 29.0 shots per game and allowed only 24.4 shots against. The power play produced 58 goals with a 24.6 percent success rate, while the penalty kill operated at 81.4 percent. Vegas also finished with six shorthanded goals.
Vegas’ strongest edge comes from its defensive profile and special teams. The Golden Knights allowed fewer goals per game than Anaheim, gave up fewer shots per game, and had the better power-play percentage and penalty-kill percentage. Jack Eichel also led the team with 90 points and 63 assists, giving Vegas a major playmaking presence entering Game 5.
Anaheim Ducks vs Vegas Golden Knights Picks and Prediction
Moneyline Pick
- Vegas Golden Knights Moneyline
Vegas gets the lean at home because the Golden Knights have the stronger defensive numbers and better special teams profile from the data provided. Vegas allowed 2.95 goals per game compared to Anaheim allowing 3.51, and the Golden Knights also allowed only 24.4 shots per game. Anaheim recently won over Vegas 4-3, but this series has gone back and forth, with each team winning twice. With Game 5 shifting back to Las Vegas and Vegas holding the better home record than Anaheim’s away record, the Golden Knights are the side pick.
Total Pick
- Over 6.5 Goals
The lean is toward the over 6.5 goals. The previous game finished with seven total goals, and the game before that finished with eight total goals. Anaheim averaged 3.23 goals per game, while Vegas averaged 3.22 goals per game, giving both teams enough scoring ability to push this matchup toward another higher-scoring result. Anaheim’s 3.51 goals allowed per game also points toward Vegas having chances to contribute offensively, while the Ducks have already produced four goals in the latest meeting.
Final Score Prediction: Vegas Golden Knights 4 – Anaheim Ducks 3
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