Calgary Flames vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, October 28, 2025

By: Jake Allman Published 10/28/2025, 12:05 AM ET
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The Calgary Flames head east to face the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday night. The opening face-off is scheduled for 6:00 PM ET on ESPN+. Calgary just snapped a five-game losing skid with a 5-1 home win over the Rangers, while Toronto is 2-2-1 in its last five. Both teams have had inconsistency in net. From power plays to puck drops, we’ve got winning NHL picks.

Flames Preview

Calgary sits at 2-7-1 overall and just 1-4-0 on the road. Despite a tough start, the Flames finally showed life behind Blake Coleman’s two-goal effort in the latest win. Nazem Kadri leads the team with seven points, while Coleman’s five goals have provided much-needed offense. Calgary averages only 2.00 goals per game and has converted just 12.2 percent of its power plays, one of the lowest in the league. The penalty kill sits at 75 percent, a figure that could be problematic against a team like Toronto that thrives on the man advantage. Goaltender Dustin Wolf is expected to start again after a strong bounce-back performance, but his season numbers (3.37 goals-against average, .886 save percentage) are too high.

Maple Leafs Preview

Toronto enters at 4-4-1, with the four wins coming at home. William Nylander has been the catalyst, leading the team with 14 points and 11 assists. John Tavares continues to be a solid scorer with five goals, including one on the power play. Even with some key injuries, including Nylander listed day-to-day, the Maple Leafs remain dangerous at even strength. The Maple Leafs are scoring 3.44 goals per game, but the defensive side has lagged with a 3.67 goals-against average. Anthony Stolarz (3.31 GAA, .885 SV%) and Cayden Primeau (3.46 GAA, .875 SV%) have split time in net, and neither has played up to expectations. Toronto’s special teams have been slightly more effective than Calgary’s, with a 13.0 percent power-play rate and 80.0 percent penalty kill.

Flames vs Maple Leafs Prediction

This game favors Toronto’s attack and home form, but Calgary’s slight momentum could make it more competitive than the records suggest. If the Flames can generate pressure early and limit Toronto’s shots on goal, they can keep this close. However, the Leafs’ top-six talent will prove too much across three periods.

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Prediction: Maple Leafs 4, Flames 2

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