Carolina Hurricanes vs Ottawa Senators Picks and Predictions for Saturday April 25 2026
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The Carolina Hurricanes and Ottawa Senators meet in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference First Round at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario, on Saturday, April 25, 2026, at 3:00 PM. Carolina leads the series 3-0, and coverage is listed on TBS, truTV, and HBO Max. The Hurricanes are listed at -130 on the moneyline, with Ottawa at -108. The total is set at 5.5, with the over at -120 and the under at +100. On the puck line, Carolina is +1.5 at -278, while Ottawa is -1.5 at +225. Be ready for all the NHL action with our Free NHL picks.
Previous Game Recap
Carolina took a 3-0 series lead with a 2-1 win over Ottawa in Game 3. The Hurricanes jumped ahead with one goal in the first period and added another in the second, while the Senators answered with their only goal in the middle frame. Neither side scored in the third period, allowing Carolina to hold on and move one win away from advancing.
For Carolina, Jackson Blake scored once, finished with three shots, and carried a plus-one rating. Logan Stankoven also scored and put four shots on goal, while Taylor Hall added two assists and finished plus-two. Eric Robinson and K’Andre Miller each recorded an assist, and Frederik Andersen was excellent in net, stopping 21 of 22 shots for a .955 save percentage across 60 minutes.
For Ottawa, Drake Batherson scored the team’s lone goal on one shot, while Nick Cousins recorded the assist. Dylan Cozens generated four shots, Ridly Greig had three shots, and Thomas Chabot also put three shots on goal while logging 29:41 of ice time. Linus Ullmark kept Ottawa close by stopping 25 of 27 shots for a .926 save percentage in 58:01.
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Carolina Hurricanes Carry Control Into Game 4
Carolina enters this game with a 53-22-7 record and a 24-12-5 mark away from home. The Hurricanes have recently won over Ottawa three straight times in this series, including the 2-1 Game 3 road victory, a 3-2 double-overtime win, and a 2-0 win. They also recently won over the Islanders 2-1 before recently losing to Philadelphia 3-2 in a shootout.
The Hurricanes average 3.55 goals per game while allowing 2.88 goals against per game. They average 32.2 shots per game and allow 23.9 shots against per game. Carolina has 60 power-play goals with a 24.9 percentage, 45 power-play goals against with an 80.6 penalty-kill percentage, and 12 shorthanded goals.
The biggest strength for Carolina is the way its shot profile supports its results. The Hurricanes generate 32.2 shots per game while allowing only 23.9, giving them a clear statistical edge in puck pressure based on the numbers provided. That pairs well with a 3-0 series lead and three straight playoff wins over Ottawa.
Ottawa Senators Try to Stay Alive at Home
Ottawa comes into Game 4 with a 44-27-11 record and a 23-12-6 home mark. The Senators have recently lost to Carolina in three straight playoff games, including the 2-1 result in Game 3. Before that, Ottawa recently lost to Carolina 3-2 in double overtime and 2-0, while also recently won over Toronto 3-1 and recently lost to New Jersey 4-3 in overtime.
The Senators average 3.35 goals per game and allow 2.99 goals against per game. Ottawa averages 28.9 shots per game while allowing 24.4 shots against per game. The Senators have 63 power-play goals with a 24.0 percentage, 57 power-play goals against with a 75.8 penalty-kill percentage, and 8 shorthanded goals.
Ottawa’s key concern is finishing close games in this series. The Senators have been within one goal in each of the last two playoff matchups, but both ended as Carolina wins. With a 3-0 series deficit, Ottawa has to turn those narrow margins into a result, especially at home.
Carolina Hurricanes vs Ottawa Senators Picks and Prediction
Moneyle Pick
- Pick: Carolina Hurricanes Moneyline
Carolina is the pick because the Hurricanes have already won the first three games of this series and enter Game 4 with the stronger overall record, the better goals-per-game number, and the lower goals-against average. Carolina has also controlled the recent head-to-head results, recently winning over Ottawa 2-0, 3-2 in double overtime, and 2-1. The Hurricanes also average more shots per game and allow fewer shots against per game, which supports their ability to keep applying pressure while limiting Ottawa’s chances.
Total Pick
- Pick: Under 5.5
The lean is under 5.5 because the first three games of this series have finished with totals of 2, 5, and 3 goals. Carolina allows 2.88 goals per game, Ottawa allows 2.99, and the most recent matchup ended 2-1. I also like that both teams allow fewer than 25 shots against per game based on the provided stats, which supports a lower-scoring outlook. With Carolina protecting a series lead and Ottawa trying to survive at home, the under fits the recent playoff results.
Final Score Prediction: Carolina Hurricanes 3 – Ottawa Senators 2
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