Carolina Hurricanes vs Philadelphia Flyers Picks and Prediction for Saturday May 9 2026
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The Carolina Hurricanes and Philadelphia Flyers will meet for Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Second Round on Saturday, May 9, 2026, at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Puck drop is scheduled for 6:00 PM, and the game will air on TNT, truTV, and HBO Max. Carolina enters the matchup holding a commanding 3-0 series lead and is listed as a -192 favorite on the moneyline. The total for the game is set at 5.5 goals. Get in on the action with our free NHL picks.
Previous Game Recap
Carolina continued its dominant playoff run with a 4-1 victory over Philadelphia in Game 3. The Hurricanes opened the scoring in the first period before both teams traded goals during the second. Carolina then completely controlled the third period with two additional goals to pull away and take full command of the series.
The Hurricanes received strong production throughout the lineup in the win. Nikolaj Ehlers scored once and finished with four shots on goal, while Jordan Staal recorded a goal and an assist. Andrei Svechnikov also had a goal and an assist, and Jordan Martinook contributed two assists. On the blue line, Jalen Chatfield scored a goal while Shayne Gostisbehere added two assists. Frederik Andersen was excellent in net, stopping 18 of 19 shots for a .947 save percentage.
Philadelphia struggled offensively throughout the night and generated only one goal in the loss. Trevor Zegras scored the Flyers’ lone goal, while Porter Martone and Emil Andrae each recorded an assist. Dan Vladar faced heavy pressure throughout the game and stopped 26 of 30 shots. Philadelphia had trouble generating sustained offensive pressure and could not recover after Carolina extended the lead in the third period.
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Hurricanes Continue to Roll Through the Playoffs
Carolina enters Game 4 with a 53-22-7 overall record and a 24-12-5 road mark. The Hurricanes have recently won over Philadelphia three straight times in this series by scores of 4-1, 3-2 in overtime, and 3-0. Carolina also recently won over Ottawa twice before this series began, giving the Hurricanes five consecutive victories entering Saturday night.
The Hurricanes have been one of the strongest teams statistically this season. Carolina averaged 3.55 goals per game while allowing only 2.88 goals against per contest. The Hurricanes also averaged 32.2 shots per game while allowing only 23.9 shots against. Carolina’s power play converted at a 24.9 percent rate while the penalty kill operated at 80.6 percent.
One of Carolina’s biggest strengths entering this matchup is overall balance. The Hurricanes continue to receive contributions from multiple lines while also limiting opportunities defensively. Carolina has allowed only three total goals through the first three games of this series and continues to pressure opponents with a strong shot advantage.
Flyers Facing Elimination on Home Ice
Philadelphia enters Game 4 with a 43-27-12 overall record and a 20-13-8 home mark. The Flyers have recently lost to Carolina three straight times in this series after recently winning over Pittsburgh in overtime before that. Philadelphia also recently lost to Pittsburgh shortly before the start of this series.
The Flyers averaged 2.93 goals per game during the season while allowing 2.92 goals against per contest. Philadelphia averaged 25.5 shots per game and also allowed 25.5 shots against. The Flyers struggled on special teams compared to Carolina, finishing with a 15.7 percent power play and a 77.6 percent penalty kill during the season.
The biggest concern for Philadelphia entering Game 4 is offensive consistency. The Flyers have scored only three total goals through the first three games of the series and were shut out in Game 1. Philadelphia also continues to face pressure from Carolina’s aggressive forecheck and shot volume, making it difficult to sustain momentum offensively.
Carolina Hurricanes vs Philadelphia Flyers Picks and Prediction
Side Pick: Carolina Hurricanes Moneyline
Carolina has clearly been the better team throughout this series and enters Game 4 with momentum after three consecutive victories over Philadelphia. The Hurricanes hold advantages offensively, defensively, and on special teams while also continuing to dominate puck possession through shot volume. Carolina has outscored the Flyers 10-3 in the series and has consistently controlled the pace of play. With the Hurricanes also carrying a five-game winning streak overall, the moneyline remains the strongest play.
Total Pick: Under 5.5
The under stands out given how the series has played so far. Carolina and Philadelphia have combined for four goals, five goals, and five goals through the first three games. The Flyers have struggled to generate offense consistently, while Carolina’s defensive structure and goaltending have limited scoring chances throughout the matchup. With elimination pressure on Philadelphia and another tight-checking game likely ahead, the lean is toward the under.
Final Score Prediction: Carolina Hurricanes 3 – Philadelphia Flyers 1
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