Chicago Blackhawks vs Montreal Canadiens Picks and Predictions for Thursday, December 18, 2025

By: Kim Smith Published 12/18/2025, 12:20 AM ET
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The Chicago Blackhawks visit the Montreal Canadiens on Thursday night in an Eastern Conference matchup at the Bell Centre, and bettors looking for value can find insights among today’s free NHL picks as both teams arrive trending in opposite directions. Chicago enters the game at 13-14-6 and riding a three-game losing streak, while Montreal sits at 17-12-4 and looks to rebound at home after a recent loss to Philadelphia.

Game Overview

This matchup features two teams that play at a similar pace but arrive with very different momentum. The Blackhawks are 6-8-3 on the road and have struggled defensively during their recent skid, allowing multiple goals in four of their last five games. Montreal, meanwhile, is 8-9-1 at home and has been competitive throughout December, including a convincing 4-1 win over Edmonton earlier in the week.

The Canadiens enter this contest as clear home favorites, listed around -218 on the moneyline, while Chicago comes in as a sizeable underdog near +160. The total is set at 5.5 goals, reflecting the expectation of a moderately paced game rather than a wide-open shootout.

Chicago Blackhawks Breakdown

Chicago’s offense continues to revolve around Connor Bedard, who leads the team with 44 points on 19 goals and 25 assists. Despite his production, the Blackhawks have struggled to find consistent secondary scoring, which has contributed to their recent downturn. Chicago is averaging 2.82 goals per game while allowing 3.00 goals against, numbers that place them near the middle of the league but trending downward.

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Goaltending has been one of the brighter spots for Chicago, as Spencer Knight owns a strong 2.55 goals-against average with a .914 save percentage. However, the defensive structure in front of him has been inconsistent, particularly on the road where Chicago has surrendered high shot totals. Injuries have also impacted the lineup, with Bedard currently listed on injured reserve and Nick Foligno sidelined, limiting offensive depth.

Montreal Canadiens Breakdown

Montreal has quietly put together a solid season behind balanced scoring and aggressive special teams play. The Canadiens are averaging 3.15 goals per game but are allowing 3.49, creating high-event games that often hinge on execution rather than tempo. Nick Suzuki leads the team with 37 points, while Cole Caufield remains the primary goal threat with 17 tallies on the season.

In net, Montreal is expected to rely on Jakub Dobes, who holds an 11-5-2 record with a .892 save percentage. While not elite statistically, he has been steady enough when supported by Montreal’s offense. The Canadiens’ power play has been a major strength, converting at over 26 percent, which could be a deciding factor against a Chicago penalty kill that has been forced to defend frequently during its losing streak.

Chicago has dropped three straight games and has struggled to keep games low-scoring when trailing early. Montreal has been more reliable at home when favored, particularly against teams with losing road records. The Canadiens also hold an edge in special teams efficiency, which becomes increasingly important in tightly lined games such as this one.

The total of 5.5 goals sits at an interesting number, as Montreal games often flirt with higher totals due to defensive lapses, while Chicago’s recent losses have come with limited offensive output.

Best Picks and Predictions

From a betting perspective, Montreal’s home form and offensive balance give them a clear edge. Chicago’s reliance on goaltending alone may not be enough against a Canadiens team that spreads scoring across multiple lines and thrives on the power play. While Chicago could keep things competitive early, Montreal’s depth should show over the final 40 minutes.

The safer angle leans toward the Canadiens on the moneyline, while the total slightly favors the over if Montreal capitalizes on special teams chances. However, the strongest play remains backing Montreal to control the game at home. Betting on sports and on the Blackhawks is easy, but even easier if you use the best sportsbooks. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for the Canadiens with the Novig promo code. Make sure when you place your bet on Canadiens vs Blackhawks you are using the BetMGM bonus code.

Final Score Prediction

Montreal’s ability to generate offense across multiple lines, combined with Chicago’s recent defensive struggles and injury concerns, points toward a steady home win. Expect the Canadiens to pull away late after a competitive opening period.

Final Score Prediction: Canadiens 4, Blackhawks 2

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