Chicago Blackhawks vs New York Islanders Picks and Prediction for Tuesday March 24 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/24/2026, 12:20 AM ET
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The Chicago Blackhawks head to UBS Arena in Elmont, New York, to take on the New York Islanders on Tuesday, March 24, 2026. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET, and the game will be broadcast on ESPN+. The Islanders enter as a -205 favorite on the moneyline, while Chicago comes in at +170. The total for this matchup is set at 5.5 goals, with the puck line showing Chicago +1.5 (-148) and New York -1.5 (+124). Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for more daily betting insights and analysis.

Blackhawks Searching for Answers on the Road

Chicago comes into this matchup with a 26-31-13 overall record and a 13-15-6 record on the road. The Blackhawks have struggled to find consistency throughout the season, and their recent form reflects those ongoing issues. Over their last five games, Chicago has recently lost to Nashville, recently lost to Colorado, recently won over Minnesota, recently lost to Minnesota, and recently lost to Vegas. That stretch highlights a team that has struggled to string together wins and maintain momentum.

From a statistical standpoint, Chicago averages just 2.57 goals per game while allowing 3.14 goals against per contest. They generate 24.4 shots per game and allow 29.8 shots against per game, which points to ongoing struggles in puck possession and defensive pressure. Their special teams have been average, with 37 power play goals and an 18.3% conversion rate, while their penalty kill sits at a respectable 84.4%. Despite that strong penalty kill, their inability to produce offense consistently has been a major issue.

One key issue for Chicago has been their offensive limitations. Averaging under three goals per game while facing nearly 30 shots per contest puts them in difficult positions night after night. Even when their defense holds up, their lack of scoring punch makes it hard to keep pace with more balanced teams. If they cannot generate more sustained offensive pressure, this will be another uphill battle.

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Islanders Leaning on Defense and Home Ice

The New York Islanders enter this game with a strong 40-26-5 overall record and a solid 19-11-2 mark at home. The Islanders have been one of the more disciplined teams in the league and have relied heavily on structure and defense to win games. Over their last five games, New York has recently won over Columbus, recently lost to Montreal, recently lost to Ottawa, recently won over Toronto, and recently won over Calgary. Their ability to bounce back after losses has helped them maintain a strong position.

Statistically, the Islanders average 2.85 goals per game while allowing just 2.78 goals against per contest. They produce 27.9 shots per game and allow 28.1 shots against per game, showing a balanced approach. Their power play has been a weakness with just 35 goals and a 16.6% conversion rate, but their penalty kill is solid at 81.1%. Additionally, their ability to generate 9 short-handed goals highlights their opportunistic style of play.

A key strength for New York is their defensive discipline and ability to control tempo. They excel at limiting high-quality chances and forcing opponents into low-percentage shots. Against a Chicago team that already struggles offensively, this matchup heavily favors the Islanders’ style. If they can dictate pace and keep the game structured, they should have the upper hand.

Islanders vs Blackhawks pick

Islanders vs Blackhawks pick

  • Pick: New York Islanders -205 (Moneyline)

The Islanders have a clear advantage in this matchup, especially when factoring in home ice and defensive structure. Chicago’s struggles offensively and their inability to consistently control possession make this a difficult matchup for them. New York’s disciplined play and ability to limit scoring chances should allow them to control this game from start to finish. The Islanders are the safer and stronger side here.

Islands vs Blackhawks total pick

  • Pick: Under 5.5

I like the under in this game because the Islanders play a slow, structured style that limits scoring opportunities. Chicago already struggles to generate offense, and against a defensively sound team like New York, it’s hard to see them contributing much to the total. This feels like a lower-scoring game where the Islanders control the pace and keep things tight.

Final Score Prediction: New York Islanders 3, Chicago Blackhawks 1

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.

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