Colorado Avalanche vs Vegas Golden Knights Picks and Prediction for Tuesday May 26 2026
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The Colorado Avalanche and Vegas Golden Knights meet for Game 4 of the Western Conference Final on Tuesday, May 26, 2026, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Puck drop is scheduled for 9:00 PM ET with national television coverage on ESPN. Vegas enters the game holding a commanding 3-0 series lead while Colorado looks to avoid elimination on the road. The Avalanche are listed as -120 favorites on the moneyline while the Golden Knights come back at +100. The total for the matchup is set at 6.5 goals. Be ready for all the NHL action with our free NHL picks.
Previous Game Recap
Vegas recently won over Colorado 5-3 in Game 3 to move within one victory of advancing to the Stanley Cup Final. The Avalanche jumped out quickly with three first-period goals and carried a 3-0 lead into the first intermission, but the momentum completely shifted after that point. Vegas responded with three unanswered goals in the second period before adding two more in the third to complete the comeback victory on home ice.
Colorado received goals from Jack Drury, Nazem Kadri, and Gabriel Landeskog during the opening period. Devon Toews contributed two assists from the blue line while Nathan MacKinnon and Martin Necas each added assists as well. Landeskog finished with six shots on goal and Kadri added three shots in an active offensive effort early in the game. Scott Wedgewood made 18 saves in net for Colorado, but the Avalanche were unable to maintain their early advantage after the strong opening twenty minutes.
Vegas answered with balanced offensive production throughout the remainder of the game. Tomas Hertl recorded a goal and an assist while William Karlsson also finished with a goal and an assist in the win. Brett Howden, Keegan Kolesar, and Mark Stone each scored as the Golden Knights continued their offensive push after the first period. Mitch Marner added two assists while Kaedan Korczak and Shea Theodore each contributed at least one assist from the defensive unit. Carter Hart stopped 32 shots and helped steady Vegas after the early deficit as the Golden Knights secured another win in the series.
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Avalanche Searching for a Response in Elimination Spot
Colorado enters Game 4 with a 55-16-11 overall record and an excellent 29-7-5 record away from home this season. The Avalanche recently lost to Vegas 5-3 in Game 3 after previously recently lost to the Golden Knights 3-1 and 4-2 earlier in the series. Before the Western Conference Final began, Colorado recently won over Minnesota twice by scores of 4-3 in overtime and 5-2. Despite the current three-game losing streak in the series, the Avalanche have consistently remained competitive offensively throughout the postseason.
The Avalanche have produced strong numbers all season offensively and defensively. Colorado averages 3.63 goals per game while allowing only 2.40 goals against per contest. The Avalanche also average 33.7 shots per game while limiting opponents to 26.1 shots against. Colorado has scored 45 power-play goals with a 17.1 percent conversion rate while posting an 84.6 percent penalty-kill percentage. The defensive structure has also been impressive, with the Avalanche allowing zero shorthanded goals against this season.
One of the biggest strengths for Colorado entering Game 4 remains its offensive pressure and shot generation. The Avalanche continue to create opportunities with 33.7 shots per game, which is significantly higher than Vegas offensively. Colorado also owns the better goals-against average entering this matchup. However, the recent inability to hold leads has become an issue after surrendering a three-goal advantage in Game 3.
Golden Knights Carry Momentum Into Another Home Game
Vegas comes into Tuesday night with a 39-26-17 overall record and a 20-12-9 mark at home this season. The Golden Knights recently won over Colorado 5-3 after previously recently won over the Avalanche 3-1 and 4-2 to open the series. Vegas has now won five straight games overall after also recently winning over Anaheim by scores of 5-1 and 3-2 in overtime during the previous playoff round. The Golden Knights have built momentum at the right time and now sit one victory away from closing out the series.
The Golden Knights average 3.22 goals per game while allowing 2.95 goals against this season. Vegas averages 29.0 shots per game and allows only 24.4 shots against. The special teams numbers stand out for Vegas as well, with 58 power-play goals and a strong 24.6 percent success rate on the man advantage. Defensively, the Golden Knights carry an 81.4 percent penalty-kill percentage and have also scored six shorthanded goals this season.
A major strength for Vegas throughout this series has been offensive balance and special teams production. Multiple players contributed offensively again in Game 3, and the Golden Knights continue finding scoring from different lines throughout the lineup. Vegas has also shown resilience after overcoming a three-goal deficit in the previous game, which demonstrated the team’s ability to respond under pressure.
Colorado Avalanche vs Vegas Golden Knights Picks and Prediction
Side Pick:
- Vegas Golden Knights Moneyline
Vegas has all of the momentum entering Game 4 after winning the first three games of the series and recently overcoming a 3-0 deficit in the latest matchup. The Golden Knights have now won five straight games overall and continue to receive balanced offensive production throughout the lineup. While Colorado owns strong season-long numbers, Vegas has consistently finished games better during this series and has taken advantage of key scoring opportunities. Playing again at T-Mobile Arena gives the Golden Knights another favorable position to close out the Western Conference Final.
Total Pick:
- Over 6.5 Goals
The over looks attractive considering the offensive pace throughout this series. The teams combined for eight goals in Game 3 after also combining for six goals in Game 1 and five goals in Game 2. Colorado averages 3.63 goals per game this season while Vegas averages 3.22 goals per game. Both teams also feature multiple high-level scorers and power-play production, which increases the likelihood of another high-scoring matchup in Game 4.
Final Score Prediction: Vegas Golden Knights 4 – Colorado Avalanche 3
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