Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Picks and Predictions for Thursday April 30 2026
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The Dallas Stars travel to Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, Minnesota, to face the Minnesota Wild in Game 6 of their Western Conference First Round playoff series on Thursday, April 30, 2026, with puck drop scheduled for 7:30 PM and coverage available on TNT, truTV, and HBO Max. The Wild currently lead the series 3-2, making this a pivotal matchup as Minnesota looks to close things out on home ice while Dallas aims to extend the series. The betting odds show a tightly contested matchup, with Minnesota listed at -122 on the moneyline and Dallas at +102, while the total is set at 5.5 goals. This sets the stage for a high-pressure playoff battle between two evenly matched teams. Get in on all the NHL action with our Free NHL picks.
Previous Game Recap
Minnesota secured a 4-2 victory over Dallas in the previous game, taking control of the series with a 3-2 lead. The game saw both teams exchange early momentum, but Minnesota was able to build on its opportunities and create separation as the contest progressed. After a tied opening period, Minnesota added to its lead in the second and third periods, ultimately holding off Dallas to secure the win.
For Minnesota, Kirill Kaprizov delivered a standout performance with one goal and two assists, driving much of the offensive production. Matt Boldy also contributed with a goal and an assist, while Mats Zuccarello added a goal of his own. Ryan Hartman, Vladimir Tarasenko, and Yakov Trenin each chipped in with assists, helping to round out a balanced offensive effort. In net, Jesper Wallstedt turned aside 20 shots, providing steady play to support the team’s overall performance.
Dallas saw contributions from Jason Robertson, who recorded a goal and an assist, continuing to be a key offensive presence. Miro Heiskanen also contributed with a goal and an assist, helping to keep the Stars within reach. Matt Duchene and Mikko Rantanen each recorded assists, adding support to the offensive push. Despite these efforts, Dallas was unable to overcome Minnesota’s scoring, as Jake Oettinger made 24 saves but allowed three goals in the contest. 
Stars Searching for a Response on the Road
The Stars enter this matchup with a 50-20-12 record and have been strong away from home with a 24-9-8 mark. In their last five games, Dallas recently lost to Minnesota 4-2 and also dropped a 3-2 overtime result to the Wild. However, they previously picked up wins over Minnesota by scores of 4-3 in double overtime and 4-2, while also recently losing 6-1 to Minnesota earlier in the series. This recent stretch highlights the back-and-forth nature of the series.
Dallas has averaged 3.33 goals per game while allowing 2.71 goals against. They generate 25.3 shots per game and allow 26.2 shots, while also maintaining a power play that has produced 71 goals with a 28.6 percent success rate. Defensively, they have allowed 49 power-play goals and hold a penalty kill percentage of 80.3.
A key strength for Dallas is its offensive efficiency, particularly on the power play, where their success rate stands out. This ability to capitalize on opportunities could be critical as they attempt to stay alive in the series.
Wild Look to Close Out Series at Home
Minnesota enters this contest with a 46-24-12 record and a solid 23-10-8 mark at home. In their last five games, the Wild recently won over Dallas 4-2 and also secured a 3-2 overtime victory. They recently lost a 4-3 double overtime game to Dallas but also dropped a 4-2 result before that, while picking up a 6-1 win earlier in the series. This sequence reflects a competitive series with momentum shifting between both teams.
The Wild have averaged 3.27 goals per game while allowing 2.87 goals against. They generate 29.2 shots per game and allow 29.4 shots, with a power play that has scored 65 goals at a 25.2 percent success rate. Defensively, they have allowed 43 power-play goals and carry a penalty kill percentage of 79.8.
One key aspect for Minnesota is its shot volume, as the higher number of shots per game provides more opportunities to generate offense. This consistent pressure can play a major role in controlling the pace of the game.
Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Picks and Prediction
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bruce Marshall | +8,742.00 |
| 2 |  Bryan Power | +3,958.00 |
| 3 |  Sean Higgs | +2,820.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,870.00 |
| 5 |  Steve Seagrave | +1,832.00 |
Moneyline Pick
- Pick: Minnesota Wild Moneyline
Minnesota holds the edge entering this matchup, having won the most recent game and carrying momentum with a 3-2 series lead. Their ability to generate more shots and convert offensively, combined with recent success against Dallas, positions them well in this spot. While Dallas has shown resilience earlier in the series, Minnesota’s recent wins and home performance give them the advantage.
Total Pick
- Pick: Over 5.5
The over appears to be the stronger play based on both teams’ scoring ability and recent results. Each team has demonstrated the capability to generate offense, and multiple games in this series have featured scoring from both sides. With both teams averaging over three goals per game, this matchup has the potential to exceed the total.
Final Score Prediction: Minnesota Wild 4 – Dallas Stars 2
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