Dallas Stars vs Philadelphia Flyers Picks and Prediction for Sunday March 29 2026
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The Dallas Stars travel to Philadelphia, Pennsylvania to face the Flyers at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Sunday, March 29, 2026 with a 7:00 PM ET start time on ESPN+. Dallas is listed as a -155 favorite on the moneyline, while Philadelphia is +130. The total for this matchup is set at 5.5 goals, with the Stars laying -1.5 on the puck line. Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for additional daily selections.
Stars Look to Bounce Back
Dallas enters this game with a 43-18-11 record and a strong 21-8-7 road record, although they are coming off a difficult stretch with recent losses to the Islanders, New Jersey, Vegas, and Minnesota before a win over Colorado. This recent run suggests a team looking to regain consistency after a tough stretch.
The Stars average 3.33 goals per game while allowing just 2.69 goals against, making them one of the more balanced teams in this matchup. They generate 25.7 shots per game and allow 26.5, showing efficiency in their scoring. Their power play has been a major strength with 63 goals and a 28.8 percent success rate, while their penalty kill sits at 81.2 percent.
Dallas’ biggest advantage lies in their elite power play and defensive structure. Even when shots are limited, they convert at a high rate, and their ability to limit goals against gives them a consistent edge.
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Flyers Finding Momentum at Home
Philadelphia comes into this game with a 35-24-12 record and a 16-12-8 home record. They have won four of their last five games, including victories over Chicago, San Jose, Los Angeles, and Anaheim, with a loss to Columbus, showing strong recent form.
The Flyers average 2.82 goals per game and allow 2.97 goals against, indicating a more defensive style of play. They generate 25.4 shots per game and allow 25.7, showing a fairly even pace. Their power play has struggled with just 30 goals and a 14.5 percent rate, while their penalty kill sits at 78.4 percent.
Philadelphia’s strength comes from their recent momentum and ability to keep games close. While their offense is not as explosive, they can capitalize on mistakes and play a tighter defensive game when needed.
Dallas Stars vs Philadelphia Flyers Pick
Stars vs Flyers Moneyline Pick
- Pick: Dallas Stars -155
Dallas has the edge with better offensive efficiency, stronger special teams, and a more consistent defensive profile. While Philadelphia has momentum, the Stars’ ability to convert on the power play and limit goals should give them control of this matchup.
Stars vs Flyers Total Pick
- Pick: Under 5.5
I am taking the under in this game because Dallas plays a strong defensive style and Philadelphia tends to keep games low scoring. With both teams allowing under three goals per game, I expect a tighter matchup that stays below the total.
Final Score Prediction: Dallas Stars 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.
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