Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Picks and Predictions for Wednesday January 29 2026
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The Dallas Stars travel to T-Mobile Arena to face the Vegas Golden Knights on Wednesday night, January 29, 2026. Puck drop is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET, with television coverage available on ESPN+. Vegas enters the matchup as the home favorite at -135 on the moneyline, while Dallas is listed at +114. The total for this game is set at 6.5 goals, with the over priced at +110 and the under at -130. Vegas is also laying -1.5 on the puck line at +185. Before breaking down the matchup, be sure to check out our free NHL picks for more NHL betting insight.
Stars Showing Strength Away from Home
Dallas comes into this matchup with a 30-14-9 overall record and has been strong on the road, posting a 16-7-6 mark away from home. The Stars have won three of their last five games, recently defeating St. Louis twice and Boston, while suffering losses to Columbus and Tampa Bay during that stretch.
Offensively, Dallas is averaging 3.26 goals per game while allowing just 2.72 goals against. They generate 25.3 shots per game and allow 27.4, often relying on defensive structure and efficiency rather than overwhelming shot volume.
Special teams have been a major strength for Dallas. The Stars’ power play is converting at an excellent 29.9% with 46 power-play goals, while the penalty kill sits at 79.9%. With three short-handed goals scored and none allowed, Dallas has consistently found ways to gain an edge in special teams situations.
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Golden Knights Aiming to Rebound at Home
Vegas enters Wednesday night with a 25-14-13 overall record and a 12-7-6 mark at home. The Golden Knights have dropped four of their last five games, recently losing to Montreal in overtime, Ottawa, Boston, and Philadelphia, with their lone win coming on the road against Toronto.
The Golden Knights are averaging 3.31 goals per game while allowing 3.06 goals against. They generate 29.0 shots per game and allow just 24.8, often controlling possession and limiting opponents’ opportunities.
Vegas has been solid on special teams as well. The Golden Knights’ power play is converting at 25.5% with 40 goals, while the penalty kill sits at 81.1%. Despite scoring just one short-handed goal, their overall discipline and structure remain strengths, particularly on home ice.
Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Pick
Stars vs Golden Knights Pick
- Dallas Stars +114
Dallas’ strong road record and elite power play make them an attractive underdog in this matchup. With Vegas struggling to close out games recently, Dallas’ efficiency and special teams edge give them value on the moneyline.
Stars vs Golden Knights Total Pick
- Under 6.5
I’m leaning toward the under in this matchup. Dallas plays a more controlled style and allows fewer than three goals per game, while Vegas is comfortable slowing the pace at home. With the under priced and both teams capable defensively, this sets up as a tighter contest.
Final Score Prediction:Dallas Stars 3, Vegas Golden Knights 2
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Wednesday.
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