Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks and Prediction for Saturday November 14 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 11/14/2026, 12:10 AM ET
Nov 12, 2026; Columbus, Ohio, USA; Tampa Bay Lightning right wing Sam O'Reily (23) picks up a loose puck as Columbus Blue Jackets defenseman Zach Werenski (8) defends during the third period at Nationwide Arena. Mandatory Credit: Russell LaBounty-Imagn Images

Detroit heads to Tampa for a 7 PM ET game at Benchmark International Arena Saturday night. The last game on the ice for the Red Wings was a loss to the Florida Panthers by a score of 5-4. The loss was one that the Red Wings would have liked to have won, but the lack of production on the ice has not been overly good on the year. Make sure you are ready for all the NHL action with our free NHL picks. 

Detroit Keeps Finding New Ways to Lose

The Red Wings are 7-10-3 overall and 3-5-2 on the road. The problem for Detroit is they were playing well over the give hundred mark until recently  when they have dropped 5 straight games. To make matters worse the Red Wings were leading the game against the Panthers by a score of 4-1 in the second period only to end up losing the game.  

The Red Wings main issues have come from not being able to consistently keep the opponent from getting good chances. That is what cost Detroit in the game against Florida. However, the offense for the Red WIngs has been able to keep up with some of the defensive lapses, but still is falling short in how they have played on the ice. 

Detroit got goals from four different areas of its lineup Thursday, so the offense wasn’t the problem. The Red Wings generated enough chances to score four times against a good Florida team. But they didn’t get the stops they needed when the game tightened up. Dylan Larkin has been serving a suspension, and his status for Saturday needs confirmation. Detroit has also been trying to settle its defensive pairings and get more consistent goaltending. The talent is there to compete, but the Red Wings have to show they can play a full 60 minutes without giving away momentum.

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Tampa Bay Is Playing Some Pretty Good Hockey

The Lightning are 13-4-2 overall after Thursday’s 3-1 victory in Columbus. They’ve gone 6-1-2 over their last nine games and won two straight. Wednesday’s 8-3 win over Buffalo was all offense, with Tampa scoring eight times on just 22 shots. Thursday was different. The game was a tighter game and one that the Lightning really had to work at to get the win secured. 

The Lightning have shown that they are still one of the most productive offensive teams on the ice this year. However, what is really impressive is how strong the power play has been playing for Tampa on the season and that could help to make the difference in this game here as the Red Wings have not been playing consistently on the defensive side of the puck on the season so far. 

Now, what else helps Tampa Bay out is the fact the the Lightning are not relying on any single line to produce. The Tampa Bay team is solid offensively up and down the lineups and that has helped the Tampa Bay team be able to score at almost any point in the games. This is completely different than most teams and could easily lead to the Red Wings having to send out the same strong defensive unit repeatedly on the day and could easily fatigue the Red Wings defenders.

Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks and Prediction

Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning Moneyline

I’m taking Tampa Bay. Detroit just blew a 4-1 lead and has lost five straight. Tampa has won two in a row and six of its last nine in regulation or overtime, with two more games reaching extra time. The Lightning are scoring, getting solid goaltending and making the plays that matter late. Detroit can absolutely make this interesting. The Red Wings scored four against Florida, and they’re capable of putting together a good offensive night. But what happens when Tampa starts pushing back? That’s where I lose confidence in Detroit. The Lightning have been the more dependable team, and I’ll take them at home.

Total Pick: Over 5.5 Goals

I’d lean over at 5.5. Detroit just gave up five goals after leading by three, and Tampa scored eight Wednesday before putting up three more Thursday. The Lightning should have opportunities against a Red Wings defense that’s been struggling to close out games. Detroit can contribute offensively, too. Four goals against Florida shows the Red Wings can score when they’re attacking instead of sitting back. The concern is Tampa’s goaltending. The Lightning held Columbus to one goal Thursday, and another strong performance in net could keep this game lower than expected. But with Detroit’s recent defensive problems, I like the over at 5.5.

Final Picks: Tampa Bay Lightning Moneyline and Over 5.5 Goals

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