Edmonton Oilers vs Montreal Canadiens Picks and Predictions for Sunday December 14 2025

By: Kim Smith Published 12/14/2025, 01:30 AM ET
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The Edmonton Oilers head to the Bell Centre on Sunday night for an interconference matchup against the Montreal Canadiens. Before placing any wagers on this game, be sure to check out the latest free NHL picks, expert betting analysis, and daily predictions, where updated odds and sharp insights are posted every day.

Game Overview

Edmonton enters this matchup at 14-11-6, continuing to ride the elite offensive production of Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl while still battling inconsistency defensively. Montreal, sitting at 16-11-3, has played competitive hockey at home and remains one of the more unpredictable teams in the Eastern Conference.

This game sets up as a high-pace, offense-driven matchup, with both teams ranking above three goals per game but allowing plenty of scoring chances at the other end.

Edmonton Oilers Breakdown

Offensive Analysis

  • 3.32 goals per game

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  • 28.5 shots per game

  • Power Play: 32.1% (elite)

Edmonton’s offense remains one of the most dangerous units in the NHL, especially with the man advantage. The Oilers generate offense quickly and thrive in transition.

Key contributors:

  • Connor McDavid: 48 points (16G, 32A)

  • Leon Draisaitl: 17 goals, 8 power-play goals

  • Power play ranked among the league’s best

When Edmonton finds space, they can overwhelm opponents in short bursts.

Defensive Play & Goaltending

  • 3.39 goals allowed per game

  • Penalty Kill: 80.2%

Defensively, Edmonton remains vulnerable. They give up quality chances off the rush and rely heavily on goaltending to bail them out.

Goaltending:

  • Tristan Jarry: 2.66 GAA, .909 SV%

  • Calvin Pickard: 4.04 GAA, .851 SV%

If Jarry starts, Edmonton’s outlook improves significantly. Pickard has struggled and would be a concern in a road environment.

Recent Form

The Oilers are 3–2 in their last five, including strong offensive wins over Winnipeg and Seattle. When they score first, Edmonton has shown the ability to control games.

Montreal Canadiens Breakdown

Offensive Analysis

  • 3.17 goals per game

  • 25.5 shots per game

  • Power Play: 25.6%

Montreal has quietly been productive offensively, especially at home. They don’t generate a high volume of shots, but they finish well and capitalize on power-play opportunities.

Key contributors:

  • Nick Suzuki: 34 points (8G, 26A)

  • Cole Caufield: 17 goals

  • Balanced scoring across the top two lines

Montreal is comfortable playing loose, especially when the game opens up.

Defense & Goaltending

  • 3.50 goals allowed per game

  • Penalty Kill: 77.6%

Defense remains an issue for the Canadiens. They allow consistent pressure in their own zone and take a high number of penalties.

Goaltending:

  • Jakub Dobes: 3.15 GAA, .887 SV%

  • Sam Montembeault: 3.65 GAA, .857 SV%

Montreal’s goaltending has been inconsistent, which is a major concern against an elite Edmonton power play.

Recent Form

The Canadiens are 3–2 in their last five, including road wins in Pittsburgh and Toronto. However, they’ve struggled against teams with high-end offensive talent.

Matchup Edge & Betting Angles

  • Edmonton owns a significant power-play advantage

  • Montreal struggles defensively and takes penalties

  • Oilers have elite top-end scoring

  • Canadiens’ goaltending is a liability against skilled teams

  • Expect an up-tempo, high-scoring game

This matchup favors offense and special teams more than structure or defense.

Picks & Predictions

I’m backing Edmonton here because their offensive ceiling is far higher, and Montreal’s defensive issues line up poorly against the Oilers’ power play. Even on the road, Edmonton should generate enough scoring chances to win this game. Check out all the sportsbook promos to see if you are getting a great deal on your bets on the Oilers. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for the Canadiens with the Kickr promo code. Make sure when you place your bet on Canadiens vs Oilers you are using the BetMGM bonus code.

Best Picks

  • Edmonton Oilers Moneyline
  • Over 6.5 Goals
  • Oilers Team Total Over

Final Score Prediction

Edmonton Oilers 5, Montreal Canadiens 3

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