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Minnesota Wild vs Colorado Avalanche Picks and Prediction for Tuesday May 5 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 05/05/2026, 12:00 AM ET

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The Minnesota Wild and the Colorado Avalanche will meet for Game 2 of their Western Conference second-round playoff series at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado, on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, with puck drop scheduled for 8:00 PM ET on ESPN. Colorado enters the matchup holding a 1-0 series lead after an explosive opening game. According to the latest odds, the Avalanche are listed as a -205 favorite on the moneyline, while Minnesota comes in as a +170 underdog. The total for this contest is set at 6.5 goals, reflecting expectations of another high-scoring battle between these Central Division rivals. Get in the  NHL action with our NHL picks.

Previous Game Recap

Game 1 of this series delivered a high-octane offensive display, as the Colorado Avalanche secured a 9-6 victory over the Minnesota Wild. The game featured back-and-forth scoring throughout the first two periods before Colorado pulled away in the third. Minnesota kept pace early, but Colorado’s surge in the final frame proved decisive as they added four goals to break open the contest and take control of the series.

Minnesota saw several contributors step up offensively despite the loss. Ryan Hartman generated a strong performance with a goal while putting significant pressure on net with multiple shots. Marcus Foligno and Marcus Johansson each found the back of the net, helping Minnesota stay within striking distance through the first two periods. On the blue line, Quinn Hughes stood out with a goal and two assists, showcasing his ability to drive offense from the back end. However, the Wild struggled defensively as goaltender Jesper Wallstedt faced heavy volume and allowed eight goals on 42 shots.

Colorado’s offensive attack was led by a balanced effort across multiple lines. Cale Makar delivered a standout performance with two goals and an assist, controlling the pace from the defensive position. Nathan MacKinnon contributed heavily with a goal and two assists, while Martin Necas added three assists to orchestrate several scoring plays. Artturi Lehkonen also made a significant impact with a goal and an assist, and Devon Toews chipped in with a goal and three assists, highlighting Colorado’s depth and ability to generate offense from all areas of the ice.

Minnesota’s Road Test Continues in Game 2

The Minnesota Wild enter Game 2 with a 46-24-12 overall record and a 23-14-4 mark on the road this season. In their last five games, Minnesota recently lost to Colorado in Game 1 but had been playing strong hockey prior to that, recently winning over Dallas three straight times before that defeat, including victories by scores of 5-2, 4-2, and 3-2 in overtime. They also recently lost to Dallas in a tightly contested double-overtime game, showing their ability to compete in close matchups. The Game 1 loss marked a shift as defensive issues surfaced against a high-powered Colorado offense.

From a statistical standpoint, Minnesota averaged 3.27 goals per game while allowing 2.87 goals against per contest. The Wild generated 29.2 shots per game and allowed 29.4, indicating a relatively balanced shot profile. Their special teams showed strength on the power play, converting at 25.2 percent, while the penalty kill operated at 79.8 percent. These numbers reflect a team capable of producing offensively while maintaining a competitive defensive structure over the course of the season.

One key concern for Minnesota heading into Game 2 is their defensive consistency, particularly after surrendering nine goals in the series opener. While their offense demonstrated the ability to keep pace, allowing that level of scoring pressure places significant strain on their goaltending. If the Wild can tighten their defensive play and limit high-danger opportunities, they have the offensive capability to remain competitive in this matchup.

Colorado Looks to Build on Offensive Momentum

The Colorado Avalanche come into Game 2 with a dominant 55-16-11 overall record and an impressive 26-9-6 record at home. They have been in excellent form, recently winning over Minnesota in Game 1 while also recently winning over Los Angeles in four straight games prior to this series, including a 5-1 road victory and multiple tight wins. Their recent stretch highlights both their offensive firepower and their ability to close out games effectively.

Colorado’s team statistics underline their status as one of the league’s most efficient teams. They averaged 3.63 goals per game while allowing just 2.40 goals against, showing a strong balance between scoring and defense. The Avalanche generated 33.7 shots per game and limited opponents to 26.1 shots, demonstrating a clear advantage in puck possession and offensive pressure. Their penalty kill operated at 84.6 percent, and while their power play conversion rate sat at 17.1 percent, their overall offensive production remained among the best.

A defining strength for Colorado is their ability to generate offense from multiple sources, as evidenced in Game 1. With contributions coming from both forwards and defensemen, they are not reliant on a single line or player to produce. This depth creates matchup challenges for opponents and allows Colorado to sustain offensive pressure throughout the game, making them particularly dangerous when playing at home.

Minnesota Wild vs Colorado Avalanche Picks and Prediction

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Moneyline Pick

  • Colorado Avalanche

Colorado enters this matchup with clear advantages in both recent form and overall statistical profile. Their ability to generate more shots per game while limiting opponents creates a consistent edge in puck control, and their offensive output has been superior throughout the season. The Game 1 performance further emphasized their scoring depth, with multiple players contributing across the lineup. Minnesota has shown resilience in recent games, particularly against Dallas, but their defensive struggles in the series opener are difficult to overlook. With Colorado playing at home and already holding a series lead, the Avalanche appear positioned to continue their momentum.

Total Pick

  • Over 6.5

The total is set at 6.5 goals, and based on the offensive output displayed in Game 1, the lean is toward the over. Both teams have demonstrated the ability to score consistently, with Minnesota averaging over three goals per game and Colorado exceeding that mark. While Minnesota may attempt to tighten their defense, Colorado’s shot volume and offensive depth suggest continued scoring opportunities. Given the pace and style of play seen in the series opener, another high-scoring contest remains a strong possibility.

Final Score Prediction: Colorado Avalanche 5 – Minnesota Wild 3

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