Minnesota Wild vs Colorado Avalanche Picks and Prediction for Wednesday May 13 2026
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The Minnesota Wild and Colorado Avalanche continue their Western Conference Second Round playoff series with Game 5 taking place at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado on Wednesday, May 13, 2026. Puck drop is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET with coverage available on TNT, truTV, and HBO Max. Colorado enters the matchup holding a 3-1 series lead after taking control of the series in Game 4. The Avalanche are listed as -205 favorites on the moneyline while Minnesota enters as a +170 underdog. The total for the game is set at 6.5 goals. Get all of the best picks for the NHL action with our free NHL picks.
Game 4 Recap
Colorado recently won over Minnesota by a 5-2 final score in Game 4 to move one win away from advancing in the postseason. The game started with the Wild taking a 1-0 lead after the opening period, but the Avalanche responded strongly over the final two periods. Colorado scored once in the second period before erupting for four goals in the third period to pull away late. The Avalanche generated consistent pressure throughout the night and finished with 32 shots on goal while limiting Minnesota’s offensive opportunities during key stretches of the game.
Nathan MacKinnon played a major role in the Colorado victory with a goal and strong offensive pressure throughout the game. Martin Necas contributed two assists while Brock Nelson added a goal and finished with a strong performance in the faceoff circle. Nazem Kadri also scored for Colorado while Parker Kelly and Ross Colton found the back of the net as well. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 19 shots in net and helped Colorado maintain control after Minnesota scored early in the contest.
Minnesota received goals from Nico Sturm and Danila Yurov in the loss, but the Wild offense struggled to consistently break through against Colorado after the first period. Vladimir Tarasenko and Quinn Hughes each recorded assists while Ryan Hartman generated several scoring opportunities during the game. Jesper Wallstedt made 29 saves for Minnesota and faced heavy pressure throughout the matchup as Colorado controlled the pace offensively during the final two periods.
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Minnesota Searching for a Road Response
Minnesota enters Game 5 with a 46-24-12 overall record while posting a 23-14-4 mark away from home this season. The Wild have gone 2-3 over their last five games and recently lost to Colorado by a 5-2 score in Game 4. Prior to that defeat, Minnesota recently won over Colorado 5-1 at home to avoid falling behind further in the series. The Wild also recently lost to Colorado 5-2 and 9-6 earlier in the series before closing out the previous round with a 5-2 win over Dallas.
The Wild averaged 3.27 goals per game during the season while allowing 2.87 goals against per contest. Minnesota recorded 29.2 shots per game while allowing 29.4 shots against. The Wild power play converted at a 25.2 percent rate with 65 power-play goals scored this season, while the penalty kill operated at 79.8 percent. Minnesota also scored seven shorthanded goals while allowing none.
One key strength for Minnesota entering this matchup is its power play production. The Wild finished with significantly more power-play goals than Colorado and carried a higher conversion percentage throughout the season. Minnesota will likely need that advantage to show up in Game 5 if it hopes to extend the series on the road. Defensively, the Wild have struggled at times in this series after allowing five or more goals in three of the four games against Colorado.
Colorado Looking to Close Out the Series
Colorado comes into this game with a 55-16-11 overall record and a strong 26-9-6 home record this season. The Avalanche have won four of their last five games and recently won over Minnesota by a 5-2 final score in Game 4. Colorado also recently won over Minnesota 5-2 and 9-6 earlier in the series before suffering a 5-1 loss in Game 3. Prior to this series, the Avalanche recently won over Los Angeles by a 5-1 score.
The Avalanche averaged 3.63 goals per game during the season while allowing only 2.40 goals against per contest. Colorado generated 33.7 shots per game while surrendering just 26.1 shots against. The Avalanche power play finished at 17.1 percent while the penalty kill operated at 84.6 percent. Colorado also allowed zero shorthanded goals during the season while giving opponents limited opportunities defensively.
Colorado’s biggest advantage entering Game 5 has been its offensive consistency and shot production. The Avalanche averaged more goals per game and significantly more shots per game than Minnesota during the season. Colorado has also controlled much of this series offensively, scoring five or more goals in three of the four games. Combined with a strong defensive profile and home record, the Avalanche enter Game 5 in a favorable position to finish the series.
Minnesota Wild vs. Colorado Avalanche Picks and Prediction
Moneyline Pick:
- Colorado Avalanche Moneyline
Colorado looks like the stronger side entering Game 5 based on the results throughout this series and the overall team statistics provided. The Avalanche have recently won over Minnesota three times in four games while consistently producing offense at a high level. Colorado averaged 3.63 goals per game during the season and has already scored five or more goals in three games during this series. The Avalanche also hold advantages in goals against average, shots per game, shots allowed per game, and penalty kill percentage. Playing at Ball Arena where Colorado posted a 26-9-6 home record this season adds another edge for the Avalanche in this matchup.
Total Pick:
- Over 6.5 Goals
The recent scoring trends in this series point toward another high-scoring matchup. Three of the four games in this series have finished with at least seven total goals, including a 9-6 game earlier in the matchup. Colorado’s offense has consistently generated strong shot totals while Minnesota has shown the ability to score when its power play gets opportunities. With the Avalanche averaging 3.63 goals per game and Minnesota averaging 3.27 goals per game during the season, the over looks like the stronger play based on the provided numbers.
Final Score Prediction: Colorado Avalanche 5 – Minnesota Wild 3
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