Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks and Prediction for Thursday November 12 2026
The Wild are going to cross the border to Toronto for a game at Scotiabank Arnea. THe game is set to have the puck drop at 7 PM ET. The last game for the Wild was a 2-1 overtime win over the Canadiens on Tuesday, but the Maple Leafs ended up getting blown up by the Avalanche in a 6-3 loss. Make sure you are ready for all the hockey action with our free NHL picks.
Minnesota Has Been Winning with Defense
Minnesota is 13-3-4 after Tuesday’s overtime win in Montreal. The Wild have points in nine straight games, going 7-0-2 during that stretch. The Wild have also been playing great away from home this year with 8 wins. That number is impressive. Minnesota has also shown they do not need to score five goals to win.
The Wild offense is averaging 3.3 goals per game and the defense is giving up only 2.3. That is among the best average on the defensive side in the NHL this season. Minnesota has been making every chance they get count and the goal tending has been playing great as well. Montreal managed only one goal Tuesday despite getting 28 shots on net.
Minnesota has been dealing with some injuries, including absences involving Filip Gustavsson and Brock Faber. Those are important pieces, particularly on the defensive side. But the Wild have been getting good performances from their remaining goaltenders and defensemen. Minnesota needs to stay disciplined against Toronto because the Leafs can still score on the power play. Give them too many opportunities, and even a good defense can get into trouble.
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Toronto Keeps Finding Ways to Lose
Toronto is 8-10-2 after losing 6-3 to Colorado on Tuesday. The Maple Leafs have dropped four straight games and the defense has struggled and been one of the biggest factors of the losses. Toronto actually clawed back into the game from a 3-1 deficit to tie Colorado 3-3, then gave up three unanswered goals. The Maple Leafs have been playing good at times, but have not finished the games off or shut down the opponents offense.
Toronto is averaging 3.4 goals per game and giving up just a little more than 3.3. The offense isn’t terrible, but the defense has been the main downfall of the Maple Leafs this season. Minnesota is giving up only 2.3 goals a game, which does not make it easy to see the Maple Leafs offense controlling the game or scoring at will.
Toronto has also been dealing with defensive injuries, including absences involving Morgan Rielly and Nick Blankenburg. Those losses affect the blue line, and that’s a problem against a Minnesota team that has been playing disciplined hockey. The Leafs need their healthy defensemen to make better decisions with the puck. They can’t keep giving opponents odd-man rushes and expecting the goaltender to bail them out.
Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks and Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Minnesota Wild
I’m taking Minnesota. Toronto has enough offense to win this game, and the Leafs are at home. But the Wild have been allowing only 2.3 goals a night, while Toronto has been giving up more than three. Minnesota has also been collecting points almost every night. The Leafs just blew a comeback against Colorado and have lost four straight. I don’t trust Toronto’s defense enough to back it against a team playing this well. Give me the Wild.
Total Pick: Under — Pending Verified Line
I lean under. Minnesota just held Montreal to one goal, and the Wild have been the best defensive team in hockey. Toronto can score, so there’s some danger here. The Leafs also have defensive problems that could give Minnesota a few extra chances. But I think the Wild will try to keep this game controlled, particularly on the road. Something around 3-2 Minnesota makes sense to me. I’d want the verified total before making the under an official wager.
Final Picks: Minnesota Wild Moneyline | Under (pending verified total)
Disclaimer: Completed November 11, 2026. Betting lines, injuries, and starting goaltenders may change before puck drop.
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