Montreal Canadiens vs Boston Bruins Picks and Prediction for Thursday November 12 2026
The Canadiens and Bruins are set to face off at TD Garden on Thursday night at 7 PM ET. This is one of the rivalry games that fans tend to salivate over, but the records of the teams do not tell the entire store as both of these teams have played good hockey on the season. The Canadiens have gained points almost nightly, but the Bruins are a team that has been the homecoming king and are nearly unbeaten. Now, what could make this interesting is the Canadiens are coming off of a 2-1 overtime loss against the Wild. Be prepared for the entire hockey season with our free NHL picks.
Montreal Has Been Hard to Beat
Montreal is 11-3-4 after Tuesday’s overtime loss to Minnesota. The Canadiens have points in 11 straight games, going 8-0-3 during that stretch. That’s a pretty impressive run. They’ve also been excellent away from home, with a 6-1-1 road record. Montreal is not coming in winning each game, but they are playing well enough to keep the games close and still pick up points on most nights.
The Canadiens are putting in 3.5 goals per game and giving up 3.1. That’s a positive scoring difference, even if it is a small difference. The defense for Montreal hasn’t been as dependable as Boston’s. Montreal can score, but it has been giving opponents too many chances. Against the Bruins, that’s dangerous.
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Montreal has some important injuries, including absences involving Samuel Montembeault, Mike Matheson and Ivan Demidov. Those losses affect the goaltending, defense, and offense. The Canadiens need their remaining players to pick up the slack, particularly against a Boston team that has been excellent at home. Montreal also needs to stay disciplined. The Bruins have enough offense to make them pay for careless penalties.
Boston Has Been Nearly Unbeatable at Home
Boston is 13-4-1 and has won eight of nine home games. That’s a pretty impressive record at TD Garden. The Bruins have gone 7-2-1 over their last ten, and they’ve been doing it with a an offense that has proven hard to stop, but also a defense that is not allowing the opponent a sniff of the net.
Boston is putting in 3.7 goals per game and the defense has been lights out giving up only 2.3. That’s one of the best scoring differences in the NHL currently. The defense for Boston has really stepped up in keeping the puck away from the net minder, but when it does get into the zone the goalies for Boston have stepped up and swept the puck away.
Boston needs to keep its defense from falling apart and giving Montreal too many chances off the rush. The Canadiens have had a dangerous offense when they get some good transition games moving, and the Bruins defense relies more on the slow and steady pace. Boston also needs to take advantage of Montreal’s goaltending situation. If the Bruins can get traffic in front of the net and create second chances, they should have opportunities to score.
Montreal Canadiens vs Boston Bruins Picks and Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Boston Bruins
I’m taking Boston. Montreal has been playing excellent hockey, and the Canadiens’ road record is impressive. But Boston has won eight of nine at home and has been allowing only 2.3 goals per game. That’s a tough combination to beat. Montreal’s injuries also concern me, particularly in goal and on defense. The Canadiens could absolutely steal this game, especially if they get an early lead. But I trust Boston’s defense and home-ice advantage more. Give me the Bruins.
Total Pick: Under — Pending Verified Line
I lean under. Both teams can score, and that’s the biggest concern. Boston averages 3.7 goals a night, while Montreal is at 3.5. But the Bruins have been allowing only 2.3, and Montreal just played a 2-1 game against Minnesota. I think Boston will try to keep this game controlled and make Montreal work for its chances. Rivalry games can get wild, so there’s no guarantee this stays low-scoring. But something around 3-2 Boston seems reasonable. The posted total will determine whether the under is worth betting.
Final Picks: Boston Bruins Moneyline | Under (pending verified total)
Disclaimer: Completed November 11, 2026. Betting lines, injuries, and starting goaltenders may change before puck drop.
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