New York Islanders vs Dallas Stars Picks and Predictions for Sunday October 25 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 10/25/2026, 12:40 AM ET

Dallas has been getting results, and the Islanders are walking into a difficult road game. New York can defend well enough to keep this close, but the Stars have more offensive options and the advantage of playing at home. I wouldn’t expect Dallas to run away with this one. The Islanders have enough structure to make them work.

New York visits Dallas at American Airlines Center on Sunday, October 25, 2026. The puck drops at 6:00 PM ET. Dallas is listed around -178 on the moneyline, with the Islanders at +167. Get ready for all the NHL action this season with our free NHL picks.

New York Islanders Need a Strong Defensive Game

The Islanders enter at 5-3-2. That’s a respectable start, and they’ve shown they can compete against good opponents. But Dallas presents a difficult assignment because the Stars have several ways to score.

New York is most comfortable when games stay close. The Islanders want to limit mistakes, keep opponents away from dangerous areas, and get enough offense to make their defensive work count. They don’t need to score five goals to win.

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The concern is whether they can maintain that approach for three periods. Dallas has enough offensive depth to punish a couple of careless shifts. New York needs strong goaltending and better puck management to stay in this game.

Dallas Stars Have the Advantage at Home

Dallas comes in at 6-3-1 and has looked like a team capable of competing near the top of the Western Conference. The Stars have been able to win games in different ways, which makes them difficult to handicap against.

Dallas has the offensive depth to put pressure on New York without depending on one scoring line. The Stars also have enough defensive structure to keep the Islanders from getting comfortable around the net.

The goaltending could be the difference. Dallas has received strong early-season work in net, and that gives the Stars a little more room for error. If the Islanders struggle to generate chances, Dallas won’t need much offense to win.

New York Islanders vs Dallas Stars Picks and Predictions

Dallas Stars Moneyline -178

I’ll take Dallas at -178. New York is capable of making this a tight game, and I wouldn’t be surprised if the Islanders are still within a goal late. But Dallas has more offensive options and the home advantage. That’s enough for me to back the Stars. I wouldn’t chase the price much beyond -180.

Under 5.5 Goals

I lean under 5.5 if the price is -110 or better. The Islanders should try to make this a defensive game, and Dallas has the goaltending to keep New York from generating much offense. The risk is an early Dallas lead forcing the Islanders to open things up. But I think a 3-2 or 3-1 result is more likely than a shootout.

Final Picks: Dallas Stars Moneyline -178 and Under 5.5 Goals at -110 or better

Preview prepared October 24, 2026

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