NHL Parlay for Friday 12/5/25
Friday’s NHL slate gives us two games with strong statistical contrasts and clear matchup edges. After reviewing goaltender splits, team metrics, injury reports, and recent performance trends, here is the best 2-leg NHL parlay for Friday, December 5, 2025.
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NHL Parlay
- Buffalo Sabres vs Winnipeg Jets – Jets ML (-135)
- San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars – Stars -1.5 (-105)
Leg 1 – Buffalo Sabres vs Winnipeg Jets
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tony Karpinski | +2,389.00 |
| 2 |  Joe Duffy | +1,960.00 |
| 3 |  The Insiders Room | +1,788.00 |
| 4 |  Terry Edelmann | +1,748.00 |
| 5 |  Mike Fink | +1,583.00 |
The Sabres and Jets meet for the second time this week after Buffalo stunned Winnipeg with a 5–1 victory on Dec. 1. But the deeper numbers and overall season trends point strongly toward Winnipeg bouncing back at home.
Buffalo enters at 11–12–4, but their major issue remains defense and goaltending. They allow 3.41 goals per game, and none of their goaltenders have a save percentage above .900. Devin Cooley, Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, and Alex Lyon have all struggled with consistency, and Buffalo has now lost four of their last five, giving up 5 goals in three of those losses.
Winnipeg is the steadier and more structured team. Their offensive production matches Buffalo at 3.00 goals per game, but the Jets are significantly better defensively, allowing only 2.96 GAA compared to Buffalo’s 3.41. Their penalty kill (83%) also outperforms Buffalo’s (87% but allowing too many power-play chances due to penalties).
The goaltending matchup is the biggest factor. Even though Connor Hellebuyck is on IR, Eric Comrie has been serviceable and owns a 2.99 GAA with a .897 save percentage. Meanwhile, Buffalo’s rotation continues to leak high-danger goals.
The Jets also return home after a shootout loss to Montreal, and historically they respond well in Canada Life Centre. With a 90.4% matchup predictor edge and Buffalo being just 2–7–2 on the road, Winnipeg has the clear advantage to win this game outright.
Make sure you check out the full Buffalo Sabres vs Winnipeg Jets pick.
Leg 2 – San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars
Dallas enters this matchup as one of the NHL’s best teams at 18–5–5, and their underlying numbers support their dominance. The Stars score 3.43 goals per game, rank among the league leaders in special teams, and own the league’s best power play at 31.5%.
San Jose, meanwhile, has been one of the weakest defensive teams in hockey over the last two weeks. Their last five include losses of 7–1, 6–0, and 4–3, and they allow 3.32 goals per game on the season. The Sharks’ road struggles also continue—they are 4–7–0 away from home and have lost three straight on the road.
The goaltending matchup is highly one-sided.
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Dallas: Jake Oettinger (2.60 GAA, .906 SV%) and Casey DeSmith (2.16 GAA, .921 SV%) form one of the best tandems in the league.
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San Jose: Yaroslav Askarov (3.15 GAA, .905 SV%) and Alex Nedeljkovic (3.19 GAA, .893 SV%) continue to give up soft goals.
Dallas also has overwhelming offensive depth. Jason Robertson (17 goals), Roope Hintz, and Mikko Rantanen drive elite scoring, while Celebrini is doing everything he can for the Sharks with 40 points, but lacks team support.
The Stars are 8–4–1 at home and have been dominant recently, posting wins of 6–1, 4–3, and 3–0. Their possession metrics and shot suppression (28 shots allowed per game) make them extremely reliable favorites on home ice.
With the talent gap, home-ice advantage, and Dallas’s elite special teams, the -1.5 puck line is the best value for this leg.
Check out the full San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars pick.
Final Parlay Thoughts
A parlay only hits when every leg comes through, and this combination provides two games with sharp mismatches. Winnipeg has the defensive structure, home-ice advantage, and scoring balance to handle Buffalo, while Dallas has one of the largest statistical edges of the night against a struggling San Jose team. If both teams play to their season averages, this Friday parlay holds excellent value.
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