Ottawa Senators vs Boston Bruins Picks and Predictions for Monday October 5 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 10/05/2026, 12:10 AM ET

The Ottawa Senators visit the Boston Bruins at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts, on Monday, October 5, 2026. Ottawa has started its season positively, while Boston enters with a 2-1 record after already playing three times during the opening week.

This matchup presents an interesting contrast. Ottawa arrives with less early-season mileage, while Boston has already experienced several different game situations. The Bruins have also shown that they can grind through close games, which could become important against an Ottawa team capable of creating offensive pressure.

Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for more NHL predictions throughout the season.

Ottawa Faces Its First Major Road Test

Ottawa’s opening result provided a positive start, but Monday’s trip to Boston presents a different challenge. Playing at TD Garden requires patience because forcing offense against the Bruins can quickly create opportunities going the other direction.

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The Senators have reasons for confidence. They enjoyed considerable success in this matchup last season, which demonstrates that Boston isn’t an opponent they should approach with hesitation. That history doesn’t guarantee anything Monday, particularly this early in a new season, but it makes Ottawa a legitimate threat rather than simply another road underdog.

The biggest question is whether Ottawa can maintain its offensive pressure without allowing Boston to dictate the physical and territorial portions of the game. If the Senators stay disciplined and avoid chasing the matchup, they have enough to remain competitive throughout.

Boston Already Battle-Tested

Boston has played three games during an opening stretch that has required the Bruins to find different ways to compete. That includes a 4-3 overtime victory against Winnipeg, a game in which Boston had to battle back late before finishing the job in overtime.

That early experience can be useful. While many clubs are still working through their first or second game, Boston has already played close situations where execution late in regulation mattered.

Home ice provides another reason to lean toward the Bruins. Ottawa is dangerous enough to punish mistakes, but Boston doesn’t need to turn this into a wide-open game. If the Bruins control the pace, keep Ottawa away from extended transition opportunities and force the Senators to work through a set defense, the matchup begins to favor the home team.

Ottawa Senators vs Boston Bruins Picks and Predictions

Pick: Boston Bruins Moneyline

Boston is the side pick in what should be one of Monday’s more competitive games. Ottawa has started well and deserves respect, but TD Garden gives the Bruins an important edge. Boston has also already navigated a close overtime game this season, which matters in a matchup I expect to remain tight into the third period. Ottawa has enough offense to threaten, but I’ll back Boston to make better use of home ice and find a way to win.

Pick: Under 6 Goals

I’m pairing Boston with the Under if six is available. The Bruins don’t need a track meet to win this matchup, and Ottawa’s best road strategy should similarly emphasize structure rather than trading chances. With both sides capable of playing disciplined hockey and neither needing to force the pace early, this sets up better for a 3-2 type of result than a seven- or eight-goal game.

Final Picks: Boston Bruins Moneyline and Under 6 Goals

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