Ottawa Senators vs Minnesota Wild Picks and Predictions for Saturday December 13 2025
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Ottawa heads to Saint Paul for an afternoon matchup with Minnesota, and this one looks like a classic “structure vs shot quality” game. The Senators can score, but they’ve also been giving up plenty, while the Wild have leaned on strong goaltending and timely finishing at home. Be ready for all the action on the ice with our free NHL Picks.
Senators vs Wild Betting Overview
Ottawa enters at 14-12-4, while Minnesota sits 17-9-5 and has been tough in their building (9-3-4 home). From a team profile standpoint, this game pits Ottawa’s more aggressive scoring pace (3.00 GF/G) against Minnesota’s defensive/goaltending backbone (2.67 GAA).
Ottawa Senators Preview
Offense
Ottawa can produce, especially when their top group is rolling:
- 3.00 GF/G
- 27.1 shots per game
- Power Play: 24.7% (a real strength)
Key producers:
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- Drake Batherson: 29 points (13G, 16A)
- Tim Stützle: 14 goals and a key scoring driver (also 4 PPG)
If Ottawa stays out of penalty trouble and gets their own power-play chances, they can absolutely keep pace.
Defense & Goaltending
The trade-off is their defensive profile:
- 3.31 GAA
- PK: 70.7% (that’s the danger zone—Minnesota doesn’t need many chances)
Goaltending options:
- Linus Ullmark: 3.05 GAA, .877 SV%
- Leevi Meriläinen: 3.36 GAA, .876 SV%
Those save rates leave little margin for error against a home team that doesn’t need a ton of shots to cash in.
Injuries to Note
- Lars Eller day-to-day
- Thomas Chabot IR
- Shane Pinto IR
Recent Form (Last 5)
- W 6–3 @ CBJ
- L 4–3 vs NJ
- L 2–1 vs STL
- L 4–2 vs NYR
- W 5–2 @ MTL
Ottawa’s 2–3 in the last five, and the defensive results have been swingy.
Minnesota Wild Preview
Offense
Minnesota isn’t a track-meet team, but they can finish:
- 2.73 GF/G
- 27.9 shots per game
- Power Play: 22.1%
Key producers:
- Matt Boldy: 35 points (17G, 18A)
- Kirill Kaprizov: 18 goals and 7 PPG (elite conversion on the man advantage)
If Ottawa’s PK continues to wobble, Kaprizov is the sort of player who turns that into goals quickly.
Defense & Goaltending
This is where Minnesota separates:
- 2.67 GAA
- PK: 80.6% (solid)
- And the goaltending duo is strong:
Filip Gustavsson: 2.67 GAA, .907 SV%
Jesper Wallstedt: 1.95 GAA, .936 SV%, 4 shutouts
If Wallstedt gets the start, Minnesota’s floor rises a lot—Ottawa may need to create chaos around the crease to score consistently.
Injuries to Note
- Zuccarello IR
- Middleton IR
- Rossi IR
- Foligno IR
Minnesota has absences, but the goaltending has kept them stable.
Recent Form (Last 5)
- W 5–2 vs DAL
- W 4–1 @ SEA
- L 4–2 @ VAN
- L 4–1 @ CGY
- W 1–0 @ EDM
That’s 3–2 recently, and the wins show Minnesota’s ability to control games defensively.
Matchup Breakdown
Edge: Goaltending — Minnesota
Minnesota’s numbers in net are simply better, especially if Wallstedt starts.
Edge: Special Teams — Slight Minnesota
Ottawa’s power play is excellent, but their 70.7% PK is a big liability against Kaprizov and a 22.1% Wild PP.
Likely Game Script
- If Ottawa gets ahead early: game can open up into a 4–3 type finish.
- If Minnesota dictates pace: expect long stretches of low-event hockey and Ottawa chasing chances.
Picks & Predictions
I’m leaning Minnesota here because the Wild are more reliable defensively and their goaltending advantage is significant against Ottawa’s shaky save rates. Ottawa can score, but they’re far more volatile—especially if they take penalties and let Minnesota’s power play get rhythm. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for the Senators with the Thrillz promo code. Make the most of your bets on the Wild by using the sportsbook promos. Make sure when you place your Senators vs Wild bet you are using the bet365 bonus code.
Best Pick: Minnesota Wild ML
Secondary Lean: Under 6 (if Wallstedt starts; otherwise I’m less confident on the under)
Final Score Prediction
Minnesota Wild 4, Ottawa Senators 2
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