Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins Picks and Prediction for Monday February 2, 2026
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The Ottawa Senators head to PPG Paints Arena on Monday night to take on the Pittsburgh Penguins, with puck drop set for 7:00 PM ET in Pittsburgh. This Eastern Conference matchup will be televised on ESPN+. Ottawa is listed at -108 on the moneyline, while Pittsburgh comes back at -112. The total is set at 6.5 goals, with the over priced at -102 and the under at -118. The puck line shows Ottawa +1.5 at -258 and Pittsburgh -1.5 at +210. For more angles and daily insight, don’t forget to check out our free NHL picks.
Senators Bringing Momentum Into Pittsburgh
Ottawa enters this contest with a 26-21-7 overall record and a 12-11-3 mark on the road. The Senators are playing some of their best hockey of the season, recently winning over New Jersey, Colorado, and Vegas, while also picking up points in four of their last five games. That recent stretch shows a team gaining confidence and finding consistency offensively.
Statistically, Ottawa is averaging 3.33 goals per game while allowing 3.28 goals against. They generate 28.5 shots per game and allow just 24.9, which highlights their ability to limit opposing chances. The power play has been a strength, converting at 23.2% with 41 goals on the season.
Where Ottawa can be exposed is on the penalty kill, which sits at just 73.0%. While the Senators have scored three shorthanded goals and allowed none, their overall shorthanded efficiency could be tested against an elite Pittsburgh power play in this matchup.
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Penguins Defending Home Ice
Pittsburgh comes into Monday night with a strong 28-14-11 overall record and has been excellent at home, posting a 13-7-7 mark at PPG Paints Arena. The Penguins are riding a five-game winning streak, with recent victories over the Rangers, Blackhawks, Canucks, Oilers, and Flames. That run has them trending upward as one of the hotter teams in the conference.
The Penguins are averaging 3.40 goals per game while allowing just 2.87, making them one of the more balanced teams in the league. They put up 29.1 shots per game and allow 27.3, and their special teams have been outstanding. Pittsburgh’s power play is converting at an elite 27.0%, while the penalty kill sits at 83.4%.
Pittsburgh’s biggest edge in this matchup is its efficiency with the man advantage. With Ottawa struggling on the penalty kill, the Penguins’ ability to capitalize on power-play opportunities could be the difference, especially in a tightly lined game.
Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins Pick
Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins Pick
- Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins -112 (Moneyline)
Pittsburgh gets the nod here thanks to its current form and strong home-ice play. The Penguins are rolling, and their power play presents a major mismatch against Ottawa’s penalty kill. In what projects as a competitive game, Pittsburgh’s special teams and defensive consistency give them the edge.
Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins Total Pick
- Pick: Over 6.5 Goals
I’m backing the over in this one because both teams are capable of generating offense, and the special teams matchup points toward scoring chances on both sides. With Ottawa’s penalty kill struggles and Pittsburgh’s power-play efficiency, goals should come in key moments.
Final Score Prediction: Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Ottawa Senators 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Sunday.
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