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Philadelphia Flyers vs Colorado Avalanche Picks and Predictions for Friday, January 23, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/23/2026, 01:25 AM ET

The Philadelphia Flyers head west to take on the Colorado Avalanche at Ball Arena on Friday, January 23, 2026, with puck drop set for 9:00 PM. This matchup will be televised on ESPN+, Altitude 2 Sports, and NBC Sports Philadelphia. Colorado opens as a heavy home favorite at -305 on the moneyline, while Philadelphia is listed at +245. The total is set at 6.5 goals with the Over at -105 and the Under at -115, and the puck line shows the Flyers +1.5 at -105 with the Avalanche -1.5 at -115. Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for more daily NHL betting insights.

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Philadelphia Searching For Answers Away From Home

Philadelphia comes into this contest with a 23-17-9 overall record and an 11-9-4 mark on the road. Over their last five games, the Flyers have recently lost to Utah in overtime, the Rangers, Penguins, and Sabres, while also recently winning over the Golden Knights, showing flashes of competitiveness but struggling to sustain momentum.

From a statistical standpoint, Philadelphia is averaging 2.90 goals per game while allowing 3.10 goals against. They generate 26.0 shots per game and give up 25.4 shots against, keeping games relatively balanced at even strength.

Special teams have been an issue for the Flyers. Their power play sits at just 15.5% with 22 goals scored, and the penalty kill has dropped to 77.7%. While they’ve managed four shorthanded goals, inconsistency in special teams situations has cost them in tight games.

Colorado Looking To Dominate At Ball Arena

Colorado enters this matchup with an elite 34-5-9 overall record and has been nearly unbeatable at home with a 20-1-4 mark. In their last five games, the Avalanche have recently won over the Capitals and Blue Jackets, while also recently losing to the Ducks in a shootout, the Predators, and the Maple Leafs in overtime, showing the rare bumps during an otherwise dominant stretch.

Offensively, Colorado continues to lead the league in production, averaging 3.96 goals per game while allowing just 2.27 goals against. They fire 34.9 shots per game and surrender 26.8 shots against, consistently overwhelming opponents with pace and puck control.

Defensively and on special teams, the Avalanche remain strong. Their penalty kill sits at an excellent 85.0%, and while their power play conversion rate is 16.5%, their five-on-five dominance often makes the difference. Their ability to control games at home is a major edge in this matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers vs Colorado Avalanche Pick

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Philadelphia Flyers vs Colorado Avalanche Pick

  • Pick: Colorado Avalanche -1.5 (-115)

Colorado’s dominance at home combined with Philadelphia’s recent road struggles makes the puck line the preferred option. The Avalanche control possession, generate elite shot volume, and defend well enough to pull away late in games like this.

Philadelphia Flyers vs Colorado Avalanche Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 6.5 goals

I’m taking the Over here because Colorado’s offense can push the pace on its own, and Philadelphia has shown defensive lapses against high-powered teams. With the Avalanche averaging nearly four goals per game, this matchup sets up for a higher-scoring outcome.

Final Score Prediction: Avalanche 5, Flyers 2

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Thursday.

How To Bet This Matchup

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