Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins Picks and Predictions for Monday April 27 2026
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The Philadelphia Flyers travel to face the Pittsburgh Penguins in Game 5 of their Eastern Conference First Round series at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, on Monday, April 27, 2026. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 PM with national coverage on ESPN. Philadelphia enters this matchup leading the series 3-1 and looking to close things out on the road, while Pittsburgh aims to extend the series after finally getting back into the win column. The betting odds show Pittsburgh as a -135 favorite on the moneyline, with Philadelphia listed at +114, and the total set at 5.5 goals. Get in on all the NHL action with our Free NHL picks.
Previous Game Recap
Pittsburgh kept its postseason hopes alive in Game 4 with a 4-2 victory over Philadelphia, taking control late after a tightly contested start. The game saw the Penguins jump out early, then withstand a push from the Flyers before adding insurance in the third period to secure the win. While Philadelphia managed to respond in stretches, Pittsburgh’s ability to capitalize on key opportunities ultimately proved to be the difference in the outcome.
The Penguins received strong contributions across their lineup, with several players making an impact offensively. Sidney Crosby led the way with a goal and an assist, while Rickard Rakell also contributed with a goal and an assist of his own. Additional scoring came from Connor Dewar and Kris Letang, helping to round out a balanced attack. In net, Arturs Silovs delivered a solid performance, stopping 28 of 30 shots to anchor Pittsburgh defensively and keep Philadelphia from mounting a full comeback.
On the other side, the Flyers saw goals from Travis Konecny and Denver Barkey, but they struggled to generate enough consistent pressure to match Pittsburgh’s offensive output. Dan Vladar faced 20 shots and allowed three goals, finishing with 17 saves in the loss. Philadelphia had moments where it looked capable of swinging momentum, but ultimately could not sustain that level of play long enough to secure the win.
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Flyers Look to Finish the Job on the Road
Philadelphia enters this game with a 43-27-12 record, including a 23-14-4 mark on the road this season. The Flyers have been in strong form lately, having recently won over Pittsburgh multiple times in this series, including back-to-back road victories earlier. Over their last five games, they recently lost to Pittsburgh 4-2 but also recently won over Pittsburgh 5-2, recently won over Pittsburgh 3-0, recently won over Pittsburgh 3-2, and recently won over Montreal 4-2. Despite the setback in Game 4, they remain firmly in control of the series with a 3-1 advantage.
From a statistical standpoint, Philadelphia has averaged 2.93 goals per game while allowing 2.92 goals against. They generate 25.5 shots per game and allow the same number defensively, showing a balanced approach. Their special teams have produced 37 power-play goals with a 15.7 percent conversion rate, while their penalty kill has allowed 55 power-play goals against with a 77.6 percent success rate.
One key factor for the Flyers has been their defensive structure, as reflected in their nearly even goals for and goals against numbers. However, their power play has not been as efficient compared to their opponent, which could become a concern if this game turns into a special teams battle. Maintaining discipline and limiting opportunities for Pittsburgh will be crucial as they attempt to close out the series.
Penguins Aim to Keep Season Alive at Home
Pittsburgh comes into this matchup with a 41-25-16 record, including a 20-13-8 mark on home ice. The Penguins recently won over Philadelphia 4-2 in Game 4, snapping a difficult stretch in the series. Looking at their last five games, they recently won over Philadelphia but also recently lost to Philadelphia 5-2, recently lost to Philadelphia 3-0, recently lost to Philadelphia 3-2, and recently lost to St. Louis 7-5. That lone win has given them momentum heading back home.
Offensively, Pittsburgh has been more productive overall, averaging 3.54 goals per game while allowing 3.15 goals against. They also generate 28.6 shots per game and allow 27.4, showing a more aggressive offensive approach. Their power play has been a significant strength, producing 56 goals at a 24.1 percent success rate, while their penalty kill has operated at 81.4 percent.
The Penguins’ biggest advantage lies in their offensive output and power-play efficiency. Their ability to create more scoring chances and convert on special teams gives them a path to extend the series. However, their defensive numbers indicate they can be vulnerable, which means maintaining consistency on both ends will be critical if they hope to force a Game 6.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins Picks and Prediction
Moneyline Pick
- Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh enters this game with momentum after their Game 4 win and has been the more productive offensive team based on season averages. Their higher goals per game and strong power-play percentage provide a clear edge in generating scoring opportunities. While Philadelphia has controlled the series overall, Pittsburgh’s ability to break through offensively and play at home gives them a favorable position in this matchup. With those factors in mind, the lean is toward Pittsburgh on the moneyline to keep the series alive.
Total Pick
- Over 5.5
Both teams bring contrasting styles into this game, with Pittsburgh’s higher-scoring profile going up against Philadelphia’s more balanced defensive approach. The Penguins average 3.54 goals per game and have a strong power play, while the Flyers allow just under three goals per game. With Pittsburgh needing to push the pace and Philadelphia capable of contributing offensively, this matchup sets up for enough scoring chances on both sides. The lean here is toward the over 5.5 goals.
Final Score Prediction: Pittsburgh Penguins 4 – Philadelphia Flyers 3
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