Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins Picks and Predictions for Saturday March 7 2026
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The Philadelphia Flyers travel to face the Pittsburgh Penguins on Saturday, March 7, 2026, at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Puck drop is scheduled for 5:30 PM ET and the game will be streamed on ESPN+. The Penguins are not on the puck line, while the moneyline odds were not fully released at the time of this writing. The total for the game has also not been released at the time of this writing. Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for more expert hockey predictions and daily betting analysis.
Flyers Looking to Rebound After Recent Loss
The Philadelphia Flyers come into this matchup with a 28-22-11 overall record and a 14-12-4 road record this season. Philadelphia has been competitive throughout the year and has shown the ability to win tight games away from home. In their last five games, the Flyers have recently lost to Utah and Washington while picking up wins over Toronto, Boston, and the New York Rangers.
Philadelphia is averaging 2.85 goals per game while allowing 3.08 goals per contest, and they generate 25.4 shots per game while allowing 25.8 shots against. The Flyers’ power play has struggled somewhat this season with 28 power play goals and a 16.2% conversion rate, which has limited their scoring opportunities with the man advantage.
Defensively, Philadelphia has relied on physical play and penalty killing to remain competitive. The Flyers carry 599 penalty minutes this season and have maintained a 79.7% penalty kill percentage, while allowing 37 power play goals against. They have also added 5 short-handed goals, showing their ability to capitalize on aggressive defensive pressure.
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Penguins Strong on Home Ice
The Pittsburgh Penguins enter this matchup with a 31-17-13 overall record and a 15-9-7 home record this season. Pittsburgh has been one of the more consistent teams in the Eastern Conference and has been especially strong offensively throughout the season. In their last five games, the Penguins have recently lost to Buffalo, Boston, and the New York Rangers while picking up wins over Vegas and New Jersey.
The Penguins average 3.38 goals per game while allowing just 2.78 goals per game, making them one of the more balanced teams in the league. Pittsburgh generates 29.3 shots per game while allowing 27.2 shots against, which highlights their ability to control puck possession and create consistent scoring chances.
One of Pittsburgh’s biggest strengths this season has been their special teams play. The Penguins have scored 42 power play goals with a 26.1% success rate, one of the better marks in the league. They also carry an excellent 84.6% penalty kill percentage, which has helped them control games and limit opponent scoring opportunities.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins Pick
Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins Pick
- Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins Moneyline
Pittsburgh enters this matchup with the stronger overall record and a significant advantage offensively. The Penguins average more than three goals per game and have one of the most effective power plays in the league. While Philadelphia has been competitive on the road, Pittsburgh’s ability to generate shots and capitalize on special teams should give them the edge on home ice.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins Total Pick
- Pick: Over
I like the over in this matchup because Pittsburgh’s offense has been extremely productive this season, averaging more than three goals per game. The Flyers have also been involved in several higher-scoring games due to defensive inconsistency. With Pittsburgh’s offensive pressure and Philadelphia capable of contributing offensively, I expect this game to go over if the total is set.
Final Score Prediction: Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Philadelphia Flyers 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Friday.
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