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Philadelphia Flyers vs Vegas Golden Knights Picks and Predictions for Monday January 19 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/19/2026, 01:05 AM ET

The Philadelphia Flyers head west to face the Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena on Monday, January 19, 2026, with puck drop scheduled for 8:00 PM EST. This matchup will be broadcast on ESPN+, NBC Sports Philadelphia Plus, and Scripps Sports. Vegas enters the game as the home favorite with the Golden Knights listed at -205 on the moneyline, while the Flyers are +170. The total is set at 6.5 goals, with the Over priced at +120 and the Under at -142, and the puck line shows Golden Knights -1.5 (+114) and Flyers +1.5 (-135). Make sure to check out our free NHL picks for more daily NHL betting insight.

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Philadelphia Flyers: Struggles Mounting on the Road

Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 22-17-8 overall record and a 10-9-3 record on the road. Over their last five games, the Flyers have recently lost to the Rangers, Penguins, Sabres, and Lightning twice, a stretch that highlights how difficult things have been against quality competition. The recent results show a team searching for consistency and struggling to keep pace when games get away from them early.

Statistically, the Flyers are averaging 2.89 goals per game while allowing 3.11 goals against, and they are generating 26.1 shots per game while giving up 25.4 shots per game. Their power play has produced 20 goals but is converting at just 14.9%, while the penalty kill sits at 77.9%.

One concern for Philadelphia is their special teams play during this recent skid. When they fall behind, the lack of power play efficiency makes it difficult to claw back into games, especially against strong offensive teams at home.

Vegas Golden Knights: Rolling at Home

Vegas enters this contest with a 24-11-12 overall record and has been especially strong at home with a 12-6-6 record at T-Mobile Arena. In their last five games, the Golden Knights have recently won over the Predators, Maple Leafs, Kings, Sharks, and Blues, showing a team in excellent form and full control of their game.

From a statistical perspective, Vegas is averaging 3.38 goals per game while allowing 2.98 goals against, and they are putting up 29.1 shots per game while limiting opponents to 24.8 shots per game. Their power play has been a major advantage with 38 goals scored and a 27.1% conversion rate, while the penalty kill is holding firm at 81.1%.

What stands out most for Vegas is how complete their game has been during this winning streak. They are controlling possession, winning special teams battles, and finishing chances efficiently, which makes them a tough matchup for a struggling opponent.

Philadelphia Flyers vs Vegas Golden Knights Pick

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Philadelphia Flyers vs Vegas Golden Knights Pick

  • Pick: Vegas Golden Knights -205 (Moneyline)

I’m backing Vegas on the moneyline because they are playing their best hockey right now and have a clear edge in offensive efficiency and special teams. Philadelphia’s recent form and struggles against strong teams make it hard to trust them in this spot, especially on the road.

Philadelphia Flyers vs Vegas Golden Knights Total Pick

  • Pick: Under 6.5

I’m taking the Under here because Vegas has been winning games by controlling play and limiting quality chances, while Philadelphia has struggled to generate consistent offense. With Vegas able to dictate the pace, this game sets up for a controlled outcome rather than a wide-open shootout.

Final Score Prediction: Golden Knights 4, Flyers 2

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Sunday.

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