Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals Picks and Prediction for Tuesday March 31 2026
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The Philadelphia Flyers head to Capital One Arena in Washington, DC, to take on the Washington Capitals with puck drop scheduled for 7:00 PM on March 31, 2026. The game will be broadcast on ESPN+. Washington enters this matchup as the favorite with a -135 moneyline, while Philadelphia is listed at +114. The puck line shows Philadelphia at +1.5 (-230) and Washington at -1.5 (+190), with the total set at 5.5 goals. As you get ready for this Metropolitan Division clash, be sure to check out the latest insights and trends with these free NHL Picks.
Philadelphia Carrying Momentum Into the Capital
The Philadelphia Flyers come into this game with a 37-24-12 overall record and a solid 20-12-4 mark on the road. Over their last five games, they have been in strong form, recently winning over Dallas, Detroit, Chicago, and San Jose, with their only loss in that stretch coming against Columbus. That run highlights a team that has been playing with confidence and finding ways to secure results, particularly in tight contests.
From a statistical standpoint, Philadelphia is averaging 2.84 goals per game while allowing 2.95 goals against per contest. They generate 25.5 shots per game and allow 25.8 shots against. On special teams, the Flyers have recorded 33 power-play goals with a 15.6% conversion rate, while allowing 47 power-play goals against with a 78.8% penalty kill percentage. They have also contributed 6 shorthanded goals and have not allowed any shorthanded goals against.
A key strength for Philadelphia is their defensive balance in limiting shots against, as they allow just 25.8 shots per game. That helps keep games within reach even when their offense is not at its highest level. However, their power-play percentage of 15.6% stands out as a weakness, which could limit their ability to capitalize on opportunities in crucial moments.
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Washington Looking to Defend Home Ice
The Washington Capitals enter this matchup with a 37-28-9 overall record and a strong 22-11-5 record at home. Over their last five games, they have been competitive, recently winning over Vegas, Utah, and New Jersey while losing to St. Louis and Colorado. That stretch shows a team that can produce offensively but has had mixed results against different opponents.
Washington is averaging 3.11 goals per game while allowing 2.88 goals against per contest. They generate 28.4 shots per game and allow 28.3 shots against. On the power play, the Capitals have recorded 38 goals with a 17.1% conversion rate, while allowing 47 power-play goals against with a 79.7% penalty kill percentage. They have also added 3 shorthanded goals and, like their opponent, have not allowed any shorthanded goals against.
One of the most notable strengths for Washington is their offensive output. Averaging 3.11 goals per game gives them an edge over Philadelphia’s 2.84, and their shot generation at 28.4 per game supports that production. While their defensive numbers are similar to Philadelphia’s, their ability to create more scoring chances could prove to be a key factor.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals Picks and Prediction
Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals Pick
- Pick: Washington Capitals Moneyline (-135)
Washington holds a slight edge in this matchup, particularly with their offensive production and strong home record of 22-11-5. Averaging 3.11 goals per game compared to Philadelphia’s 2.84 gives them a noticeable advantage in scoring ability. Additionally, their higher shot total of 28.4 per game suggests more consistent offensive pressure. While Philadelphia has been in good recent form, Washington’s ability to generate offense and perform well at home positions them to secure the win.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals Total Pick
- Pick: Under 5.5
I’m leaning toward the under in this matchup because both teams have shown relatively controlled defensive numbers. Philadelphia allows 2.95 goals per game, while Washington allows 2.88, which suggests this could be a tighter contest. Even though Washington has a slight offensive edge, both teams have shown the ability to limit scoring chances, especially with neither allowing shorthanded goals. That balance points toward a game that stays under the total.
Final Score Prediction
Washington Capitals 3 – Philadelphia Flyers 2
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.
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