Pittsburgh Penguins vs Edmonton Oilers Picks and Predictions for Thursday January 22 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/22/2026, 01:45 AM ET
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The Pittsburgh Penguins head west to face the Edmonton Oilers at Rogers Place on Thursday, January 22, 2026, with puck drop scheduled for 9:00 PM EST. This matchup will be televised on ESPN+. Edmonton enters as the home favorite at -198 on the moneyline, while Pittsburgh is listed at +164. The total is set at 6.5 goals with the Over at -105 and the Under at -115. Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for more daily NHL betting insights.

Penguins Looking to Rebound on the Road

The Pittsburgh Penguins come into this matchup with a 23-14-11 overall record and have been solid away from home at 12-7-4 on the road. Over their last five games, the Penguins have recently won over the Kraken and Flyers, while also suffering losses to the Blue Jackets, Lightning, and Bruins, including a pair of shootout decisions.

From a statistical perspective, Pittsburgh is averaging 3.23 goals per game while allowing 2.92 goals against. They generate 29 shots per game and give up 27.6 shots against, showing a fairly balanced profile that allows them to stay competitive even when offense dries up.

Special teams remain a major strength for Pittsburgh. The Penguins have scored 37 power-play goals and own an excellent 28% power-play percentage, while also killing penalties at an 83.1% rate. Their ability to capitalize with the man advantage often keeps them in games against higher-powered opponents.

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Oilers Aiming to Take Control at Home

The Edmonton Oilers enter Thursday night with a 25-18-8 overall record and a 12-7-4 mark at home. In their last five games, the Oilers have recently won over the Blues and Canucks, while also dropping games to the Devils, Islanders, and Predators, including an overtime loss.

Statistically, Edmonton is averaging 3.35 goals per game while allowing 3.08 goals against. They put up 29.2 shots per game and allow 27 shots against, reflecting a fast-paced style that leans into offensive pressure.

The Oilers’ biggest edge comes on the power play. Edmonton has scored 46 power-play goals and boasts a league-leading 32.6% power-play percentage. While their penalty kill sits at 80.6%, their explosive special teams offense can quickly swing momentum, especially at home.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Edmonton Oilers Pick

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Edmonton Oilers Pick

  • Pick: Edmonton Oilers -1.5 (+130)

Edmonton gets the nod here due to their elite power play and home-ice advantage. Pittsburgh is capable defensively, but the Oilers’ ability to generate goals in bunches makes them a strong candidate to win by margin. If Edmonton gets opportunities with the man advantage, this game could open up quickly.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Edmonton Oilers Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 6.5 Goals

I’m leaning toward the Over in this matchup because both teams bring strong offensive numbers and dangerous power plays into the game. Edmonton’s tempo at home combined with Pittsburgh’s efficient scoring profile sets up well for a higher-scoring contest if special teams factor in as expected.

Final Score Prediction: Oilers 5, Penguins 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Wednesday.

How To Bet This Matchup

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