Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Rangers Picks and Predictions for Saturday February 28 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 02/28/2026, 05:50 AM ET
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The Pittsburgh Penguins travel to Madison Square Garden to face the New York Rangers on Saturday, February 28, 2026. Puck drop is scheduled for 12:30 PM with the game televised nationally on ABC. The matchup will take place at Madison Square Garden in New York City. At the time of this writing, the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for more expert analysis on today’s slate.

Penguins Look to Stay Hot on Broadway

The Penguins enter this matchup with a 30-15-12 overall record and a strong 16-7-5 mark on the road. Pittsburgh has been playing solid hockey lately, recently winning over New Jersey 4-1 and Buffalo 5-2, while also picking up a 6-5 win over the Rangers. They did suffer close losses to the Islanders in overtime and Ottawa, but this team continues to stack points in competitive fashion.

Offensively, Pittsburgh is producing 3.41 goals per game while allowing 2.89 goals against per contest. They average 29.1 shots per game and limit opponents to 27.3 shots. The Penguins’ special teams have also been a strength, scoring 38 power play goals at an impressive 25.9% clip. Their penalty kill stands at 84.0%, and they have not allowed a single shorthanded goal all season.

One key area that stands out is their efficiency with the man advantage combined with disciplined defensive play. With only 26 power play goals allowed and zero shorthanded goals conceded, Pittsburgh’s structure and situational hockey give them a clear edge in tight games.

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Rangers Searching for Answers at Home

The Rangers come into this game at 22-29-7 overall and just 6-15-5 on home ice. New York has struggled mightily in recent games, recently losing to Philadelphia in overtime and falling to Carolina, Pittsburgh, and the Islanders. They have dropped five straight contests and are searching for momentum.

New York is averaging 2.61 goals per game while allowing 3.16 goals against. They are being outshot regularly, averaging 25.5 shots while giving up 28.8 per game. On special teams, the Rangers have 32 power play goals at 22.7%, but their penalty kill sits at 79.9% and they have allowed 34 power play goals.

Defensively, the Rangers’ inability to suppress shots and protect leads has been costly. While they have managed four shorthanded goals and have not allowed one, their overall defensive zone coverage and goaltending consistency have not matched Pittsburgh’s level.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Rangers Pick

Penguins vs Rangers Pick

  • Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins Moneyline

Pittsburgh has been the more consistent team all season and has proven they can win in New York. With the Penguins owning the better road record, stronger special teams, and more reliable defensive numbers, they have the clear statistical advantage. The Rangers’ home struggles and recent losing streak make it difficult to trust them in this spot.

Penguins vs Rangers Total Pick

  • Pick: Over if total is set at 6.5

I expect goals in this matchup. Pittsburgh’s offense is averaging over three goals per game, and the Rangers have allowed over three goals per contest. Given their last meeting finished 6-5 and both teams have shown defensive lapses recently, I see this one trending toward the over.

Final Score Prediction: Penguins 4, Rangers 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Friday.

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