Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers Picks and Predictions for Saturday April 25 2026
The Pittsburgh Penguins and Philadelphia Flyers meet in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference First Round at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on Saturday, April 25, 2026, at 8:00 PM. Philadelphia leads the series 3-0, and coverage is listed on TBS, truTV, and HBO Max. Pittsburgh is listed at +100 on the moneyline, while Philadelphia is -120. The total is set at 5.5, with the over at -122 and the under at +102. On the puck line, Pittsburgh is +1.5 at -258, while Philadelphia is -1.5 at +210. Get ready for all the NHL action with our Free NHL picks.
Previous Game Recap
Philadelphia recently won over Pittsburgh 5-2 in Game 3 to take a commanding 3-0 series lead. Pittsburgh scored once in the first period, but Philadelphia answered with three goals in the second and two more in the third. Pittsburgh added one goal in the final period, but the Flyers controlled the middle and late portions of the game well enough to pull away at home.
For Pittsburgh, Evgeni Malkin scored once on two shots, while Erik Karlsson also scored and added two shots in 28:59 of ice time. Sidney Crosby, Tommy Novak, Rickard Rakell, and Bryan Rust each recorded an assist. Stuart Skinner faced 28 shots and made 24 saves, finishing with an .857 save percentage across 58:01.
For Philadelphia, Noah Cates scored once, added an assist, and finished with three shots, while Trevor Zegras had one goal, one assist, and two shots. Owen Tippett, Rasmus Ristolainen, and Nick Seeler also scored, while Sean Couturier, Jamie Drysdale, and Noah Juulsen each had two assists. Dan Vladar stopped 27 of 29 shots for a .931 save percentage across 60 minutes.
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Pittsburgh Penguins Search for a Response on the Road
Pittsburgh enters Game 4 with a 41-25-16 record and a 21-12-8 mark away from home. The Penguins have recently lost to Philadelphia 5-2, recently lost to Philadelphia 3-0, and recently lost to Philadelphia 3-2 in this series. They also recently lost to St. Louis 7-5 and recently lost to Washington 3-0, giving them five straight losses entering this matchup.
The Penguins average 3.54 goals per game while allowing 3.15 goals against per game. Pittsburgh averages 28.6 shots per game and allows 27.4 shots against per game. The Penguins have 56 power-play goals with a 24.1 percentage, 44 power-play goals against with an 81.4 penalty-kill percentage, and 6 shorthanded goals.
Pittsburgh’s biggest strength is its scoring profile, as the Penguins average 3.54 goals per game, which is higher than Philadelphia’s number. The concern, though, is that the Penguins have allowed 3.15 goals per game and have recently lost three straight playoff games in this series.
Philadelphia Flyers Aim to Finish the Series at Home
Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 43-27-12 record and a 20-13-8 mark at home. The Flyers have recently won over Pittsburgh 5-2, recently won over Pittsburgh 3-0, and recently won over Pittsburgh 3-2 in the first three games of this series. They also recently won over Montreal 4-2 and recently won over Carolina 3-2 in a shootout.
The Flyers average 2.93 goals per game and allow 2.92 goals against per game. Philadelphia averages 25.5 shots per game and allows 25.5 shots against per game. The Flyers have 37 power-play goals with a 15.7 percentage, 55 power-play goals against with a 77.6 penalty-kill percentage, and 7 shorthanded goals.
Philadelphia’s key strength is its current run of results. The Flyers have recently won five straight games, including all three matchups in this playoff series, and they have held Pittsburgh to two goals or fewer in each of the three games.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers Picks and Prediction
Moneyline Pick
- Pick: Philadelphia Flyers Moneyline
Philadelphia is the pick because the Flyers lead the series 3-0 and have recently won over Pittsburgh in all three playoff games. The most recent matchup ended 5-2, and Philadelphia has also recently won by scores of 3-0 and 3-2. Pittsburgh has the higher goals-per-game average, but the Flyers have produced the stronger recent results and enter this game with five straight wins overall. At home, with a chance to continue the same series trend, Philadelphia on the moneyline is the preferred side.
Total Pick
- Pick: Under 5.5
The lean is under 5.5 because two of the first three games in this series finished below that number, with scores of 3-2 and 3-0. Pittsburgh has recently been held to two goals, zero goals, and two goals against Philadelphia, while the Flyers allow 2.92 goals per game. Philadelphia also averages 2.93 goals per game, so even with the 5-2 result in Game 3, the overall series results still point toward a tighter scoring outlook. I would play the under 5.5.
Final Score Prediction: Philadelphia Flyers 3 – Pittsburgh Penguins 2
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