Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers Picks and Predictions for Wednesday April 29 2026
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The Pittsburgh Penguins travel to face the Philadelphia Flyers at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania on Wednesday, April 29, 2026, with puck drop scheduled for 7:30 PM and coverage available on TNT/truTV/HBO Max. The betting odds list Philadelphia as a -122 moneyline favorite, while Pittsburgh is priced at +102. The total is set at 5.5 goals, with the over at -122 and the under at +102, while the puck line has Pittsburgh +1.5 at -250 and Philadelphia -1.5 at +205. Philadelphia leads the series 3-2 entering Game 6. Get into the action with our Free NHL Picks.
Previous Game Recap
Pittsburgh recently won over Philadelphia by a 3-2 final score in Game 5, keeping the series alive and cutting the Flyers’ lead to 3-2. The Penguins opened the scoring in the first period, while the second period produced all four remaining goals, with Philadelphia scoring twice and Pittsburgh answering twice. Neither team scored in the third period, allowing Pittsburgh to hold on for the one-goal win.
Philadelphia had several contributors in the loss. Alex Bump scored once on four shots, while Travis Sanheim added a goal from the blue line and blocked four shots. Noah Cates and Travis Konecny each recorded an assist, and Rasmus Ristolainen added two assists while logging 23:21 of ice time. Dan Vladar faced 21 shots and made 18 saves, finishing with an .857 save percentage.
Pittsburgh’s top performers helped drive the narrow victory. Connor Dewar and Elmer Soderblom each scored, while Kris Letang added a goal from the defensive group. Sidney Crosby recorded two assists and won 12 of 20 faceoffs, while Blake Lizotte, Anthony Mantha, Ryan Shea, and Parker Wotherspoon each added an assist. Arturs Silovs stopped 18 of 20 shots and finished with a .900 save percentage. 
Pittsburgh Trying to Push the Series Back
The Penguins enter this matchup with a 41-25-16 overall record and a 21-12-8 mark away from home. Pittsburgh has recently won over Philadelphia in back-to-back games, taking Game 5 by a 3-2 score after recently winning over the Flyers 4-2 on the road. Before that, the Penguins had recently lost to Philadelphia three straight times by scores of 5-2, 3-0, and 3-2, but their last two results have kept the series alive.
Pittsburgh averages 3.54 goals per game while allowing 3.15 goals against per game. The Penguins generate 28.6 shots per game and allow 27.4 shots against. On special teams, Pittsburgh has scored 56 power-play goals with a 24.1 percent power-play rate, while allowing 44 power-play goals against with an 81.4 percent penalty-kill rate.
A key strength for Pittsburgh is its offensive profile. The Penguins average more goals per game than Philadelphia, generate more shots per game, and own the stronger power-play percentage. That scoring edge has mattered recently, with Pittsburgh producing seven total goals across its last two wins in the series.
Philadelphia Looking to Close at Home
The Flyers enter Game 6 with a 43-27-12 overall record and a 20-13-8 mark at home. Philadelphia still leads the series 3-2, but the Flyers have recently lost to Pittsburgh in consecutive games, including the 3-2 road loss in Game 5. Before those setbacks, Philadelphia recently won over Pittsburgh three straight times, including a 5-2 home victory, a 3-0 road win, and a 3-2 road victory.
Philadelphia averages 2.93 goals per game while allowing 2.92 goals against per game. The Flyers average 25.5 shots per game and allow 25.5 shots against. On special teams, Philadelphia has scored 37 power-play goals with a 15.7 percent power-play rate, while allowing 55 power-play goals against with a 77.6 percent penalty-kill rate.
One concern for Philadelphia is its special-teams comparison in this matchup. The Flyers have the lower power-play percentage and the lower penalty-kill percentage based on the provided team stats. In a series where recent games have been tight, that difference could be important if special-teams chances become a factor.
Penguins vs Flyers Picks and Prediction
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bruce Marshall | +9,181.00 |
| 2 |  Sean Higgs | +4,349.00 |
| 3 |  Bryan Power | +3,755.00 |
| 4 |  Steve Seagrave | +3,582.00 |
| 5 |  Pro Sports Picks | +3,426.00 |
Moneyline Pick
- Pittsburgh Penguins Moneyline.
Pittsburgh enters this Game 6 matchup with momentum after recently winning over Philadelphia in back-to-back games. The Penguins also carry the stronger offensive numbers, averaging 3.54 goals per game compared to Philadelphia’s 2.93. Pittsburgh has the edge in shots per game and power-play percentage as well, which gives the road team a path to keep pressure on Philadelphia. With the Flyers coming off consecutive losses and Pittsburgh playing to extend the series, the Penguins are the side pick.
Total Pick
- Over 5.5.
The lean is toward the over because Pittsburgh’s offensive numbers are strong, with 3.54 goals per game and a 24.1 percent power-play rate. Philadelphia has allowed 55 power-play goals against, while Pittsburgh has scored 56 power-play goals, creating a matchup that could produce enough scoring chances to get past the number. The last two games finished with five and six total goals, and with Pittsburgh pushing to stay alive while Philadelphia tries to close the series, I would lean toward a 6-goal finish.
Final Score Prediction: Pittsburgh Penguins 4 – Philadelphia Flyers 2
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