San Jose Sharks vs Ottawa Senators Picks and Predictions for Sunday March 15 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/15/2026, 12:30 AM ET
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The San Jose Sharks travel to face the Ottawa Senators on Sunday, March 15, 2026 at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario. Puck drop is scheduled for 5:00 PM ET and the game will be televised on ESPN+. According to the latest odds, the Ottawa Senators are listed as -205 favorites on the moneyline while the San Jose Sharks are +170 underdogs. The total for this matchup is set at 6.5 goals with the puck line showing Ottawa Senators -1.5 (+110) and San Jose Sharks +1.5 (-130). Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for more daily betting predictions and analysis.

Sharks Trying to Stay Competitive on the Road

The San Jose Sharks enter this matchup with a 32-26-6 overall record and a 15-16-1 record on the road this season. San Jose has been somewhat inconsistent over their recent stretch of games but they are coming off a strong performance after recently winning over the Boston Bruins 4-2. In their other recent games, the Sharks recently lost to the Buffalo Sabres 6-3, recently lost to the New York Islanders 2-1 in overtime, recently lost to the St. Louis Blues 3-2 in overtime, and recently won over the Montreal Canadiens 7-5.

Offensively, the Sharks are averaging 3.08 goals per game this season while allowing 3.48 goals per contest. San Jose averages 26.0 shots per game while allowing 30.4 shots per game, showing that they sometimes struggle to control puck possession. On special teams, the Sharks have scored 43 power play goals and operate at a 20.3% power play success rate.

One notable aspect of San Jose’s game has been their ability to capitalize on offensive chances when they get them. Despite generating fewer shots than many teams, the Sharks can still score efficiently and have also been disciplined when it comes to short-handed situations, allowing zero short-handed goals against this season while maintaining a respectable 79.3% penalty kill rate.

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Senators Building Momentum at Home

The Ottawa Senators enter this contest with a 33-23-9 overall record and a 15-11-5 record on home ice this season. Ottawa has been playing strong hockey recently and comes into this matchup after recently winning over the Anaheim Ducks 2-0. In their other recent games, the Senators recently lost to the Montreal Canadiens 3-2 but recently won over the Vancouver Canucks 2-0, recently won over the Seattle Kraken 7-4, and recently won over the Calgary Flames 4-1.

The Senators have been productive offensively this season, averaging 3.33 goals per game while allowing 3.14 goals against per contest. Ottawa averages 28.8 shots per game while allowing only 24.3 shots per game, which shows their ability to control possession and keep pressure on opposing defenses. Their power play has also been effective, producing 48 power play goals with a strong 23.2% conversion rate.

One key strength for Ottawa has been their offensive depth and puck control. By generating nearly 29 shots per game and limiting opponents to just over 24 shots, the Senators frequently dictate the pace of play. Their ability to maintain possession combined with their strong power play unit makes them a dangerous offensive team, especially when playing at home.

San Jose Sharks vs Ottawa Senators Pick

Sharks vs Senators Pick

  • Pick: Ottawa Senators -1.5

Ottawa enters this matchup as the stronger overall team and they have been playing very well recently, winning four of their last five games. The Senators also have a clear advantage in shot differential and puck possession, which should allow them to control the pace of the game. While San Jose can generate offense at times, their defensive numbers have been inconsistent and allowing over 3.4 goals per game is a concern against a team like Ottawa. With the Senators playing at home and currently in good form, they have a strong chance to win by multiple goals.

Sharks vs Senators Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 6.5

I like the over in this matchup because both teams have shown the ability to produce offense while also allowing scoring chances. San Jose allows 3.48 goals per game and Ottawa averages over 3.3 goals per game offensively, which suggests there should be plenty of scoring opportunities. If Ottawa controls possession as expected and the Sharks generate chances in transition, this game could easily climb past the posted total.

Final Score Prediction: Ottawa Senators 4, San Jose Sharks 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.

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