Seattle Kraken vs Dallas Stars Picks and Predictions for Wednesday February 25 2026
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The Seattle Kraken travel to American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Stars on Wednesday, February 25, 2026. Puck drop is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET, and the game will be televised on ESPN+. Dallas is listed as a -180 favorite on the moneyline, while Seattle comes in at +150. The total is set at 5.5 goals, with the over at -115 and the under at -105. On the puck line, the Kraken are +1.5 (-170) and the Stars are -1.5 (+142). Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for more expert analysis and daily selections.
Seattle Kraken: Momentum Fueled by Special Teams
Seattle enters this matchup with a 27-20-9 overall record and a 13-11-4 mark on the road. The Kraken recently won over Los Angeles 4-2, defeated Vegas 3-2, and picked up victories against Toronto 5-2 and Washington 5-1. They did fall to Anaheim 4-2 but have won four of their last five games, showing strong recent form.
The Kraken are averaging 2.88 goals per game while allowing 2.88, reflecting a balanced goal differential. They generate 25.4 shots per contest and allow 29.2. Seattle has 37 power play goals with an impressive 23.0% conversion rate. However, their penalty kill sits at 71.5%, and they have allowed 45 power play goals against.
Seattle’s power play has been a major strength, converting at 23%. Their recent offensive surge has helped offset defensive inconsistencies, particularly on the penalty kill. If they can stay disciplined and avoid extended time short-handed, they can compete in this matchup.
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Dallas Stars: Red-Hot Offense and Elite Power Play
Dallas comes into this game at 34-14-9 overall and 16-7-3 at home. The Stars recently won over St. Louis 5-4, defeated Winnipeg 4-3 in overtime, and beat Utah 3-2. They also won 5-4 in a shootout against Vegas and 4-3 over St. Louis, winning five straight games.
The Stars are averaging 3.32 goals per game while allowing 2.75. They generate 25.6 shots per contest and give up 26.9. Dallas has 50 power play goals and a league-best 29.9% power play percentage. Their penalty kill stands at 79.9%, and they have conceded 35 power play goals.
Dallas’ power play is the defining factor. Converting nearly 30% of their opportunities gives them a major edge, especially against a Seattle penalty kill that has struggled. Combined with their current five-game winning streak, the Stars enter this contest with confidence and offensive rhythm.
Seattle Kraken vs Dallas Stars Pick
Seattle Kraken vs Dallas Stars Moneyline Pick
- Pick: Dallas Stars -180
Dallas’ elite power play and current momentum make them the stronger side at home. Seattle’s penalty kill struggles could be exposed against a Stars team that thrives with the man advantage. I expect Dallas to capitalize on special teams opportunities and extend their winning streak.
Seattle Kraken vs Dallas Stars Total Pick
- Pick: Over 5.5
I am leaning toward the over in this matchup. Both teams have been scoring recently, and Dallas’ offensive production combined with Seattle’s penalty kill issues suggest scoring chances on both sides. I see this game reaching at least six total goals.
Final Score Prediction: Dallas Stars 4, Seattle Kraken 3
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