Seattle Kraken vs Edmonton Oilers Picks and Predictions for Thursday December 4 2025
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The Seattle Kraken head into Rogers Place trying to snap a losing streak against an Edmonton Oilers team that’s been wildly up and down but still loaded with high-end talent. Seattle sits at 11-7-6 (5-4-3 away), while Edmonton is 11-11-5 (5-3-2 at home) and just got shut out by Minnesota after blasting the Kraken 4–0 in Seattle a few days ago. Before locking anything in, I always like to compare this matchup with the rest of the board using today’s free NHL Picks to see how similar home favourites are being priced.
Seattle Kraken vs Edmonton Oilers – Odds and Game Context
The Oilers are significant home favourites at around -245 on the moneyline, with the Kraken in the +200 range. The total is set at 5.5, shaded to the over, and Edmonton sits at -1.5 (+114) on the puck line with Seattle +1.5 (-135).
That pricing reflects a few things: Edmonton’s offensive ceiling with Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, their strong home splits, and the market’s scepticism about Seattle’s ability to generate enough offence to keep pace, especially with the Kraken coming in on a losing run.
Seattle Kraken – Defence-First, Low-Event Hockey
Seattle’s profile this season is pretty clear: they lean on structure, decent goaltending, and low-event hockey to stay in games. They’re averaging 2.46 goals per game on only 24.4 shots, so the attack simply isn’t built to trade chances with high-powered teams.
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Defensively, they’ve been respectable, allowing 2.63 goals against per game on 27.4 shots against. The goaltending numbers back that up:
- Joey Daccord: 2.68 GAA, .902 SV%, 7 wins with 2 shutouts
- Philipp Grubauer: 2.14 GAA, .912 SV% in limited action
- Matt Murray: 2.21 GAA, .922 SV% in a small sample
That’s a solid trio, and it’s why Seattle can hang around even when they’re outgunned on paper.
Offensively, Jaden Schwartz leads with 15 points (8G, 7A), but after him the scoring falls away fairly quickly. Matty Beniers is more of a playmaker at this point, with 11 assists, and the power play sits at 16.7%, which is serviceable but not threatening. The penalty kill is a real worry at 69.2%, especially against Edmonton’s lethal top unit.
Recent form underlines the issues: the Kraken have dropped their last three, scoring just 2 goals total over that stretch and getting shut out 4–0 at home by these same Oilers.
Edmonton Oilers – High-Octane Attack, Shaky Back End
Edmonton’s record looks middling at 11-11-5, but the ingredients are all there for them to go on a run. They’re scoring 3.00 goals per game on 28.4 shots, driven by their usual superstars:
- Connor McDavid: 36 points (11G, 25A), driving almost everything offensively
- Leon Draisaitl: 15 goals, 7 on the power play, still one of the league’s elite finishers
The Oilers’ power play is humming along at 28.8%, which is exactly the wrong matchup for a Kraken penalty kill sitting under 70%. If Edmonton gets three or four chances with the man advantage, they’re live to break this one open.
Defensively, they’re allowing 3.48 goals against per game on 26.5 shots against, which tells you the chances they give up are dangerous. Stuart Skinner is 9-8-3 with a 2.90 GAA and .888 SV%, and Calvin Pickard has struggled at 4.04 GAA, .847 SV%. The team’s structure and defensive mistakes are as much of a concern as the raw goaltending.
Their last five games are a perfect microcosm: shut out in a 1–0 loss to Minnesota, an 8–3 hammering by Dallas, a big 6–3 win at Florida, and that 4–0 road win in Seattle. Same roster, wildly different outcomes.
Seattle Kraken vs Edmonton Oilers – Matchup Breakdown
For me, this game hinges on two questions:
- Can Seattle slow this game down to their pace? If the Kraken keep this low-event and stay out of the box, their goaltending is good enough to frustrate Edmonton and keep it tight into the third period.
- Can Edmonton’s stars take over again? With McDavid and Draisaitl sitting across from a Kraken team that struggles to score, one or two explosive shifts can tilt the game heavily in Edmonton’s favour—especially if the Oilers get multiple power plays.
Seattle’s scoring limitations against an Edmonton power play that’s nearly 30% is the key mismatch for me. The Kraken can grind, but if they fall behind early, they don’t have the offensive gear to chase the game effectively.
Best Bets for Seattle Kraken vs Edmonton Oilers
From a betting standpoint, I don’t love laying a big number on the Oilers’ moneyline, but I do think they’re the right side at home. I’d rather reduce the juice and look at derivative angles. The best sportsbooks are the best way to go when you are betting on the Oilers. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for the Kraken with the Onyx Odds promo code. Getting the most out of your bets on Kraken vs Oilers can be done by using the Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.
- Edmonton Oilers in Regulation – I’m backing Edmonton to get the job done in 60 minutes. Their offensive ceiling and power play edge over Seattle’s weak PK are too strong to ignore, especially after they just handled the Kraken 4–0 on the road.
- Over 5.5 Goals – Despite Seattle’s low scoring profile, Edmonton games have a habit of opening up. The Oilers can make it 4–2 or 5–2 in a hurry if special teams tilt their way, and their own defensive flaws mean the Kraken can still chip in.
My projected score: Oilers 4 – Kraken 2
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