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St. Louis Blues vs Dallas Stars Picks and Predictions for Friday, January 23, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/23/2026, 01:30 AM ET

The St. Louis Blues hit the road to face the Dallas Stars at the American Airlines Center on Friday, January 23, 2026, with puck drop scheduled for 8:00 PM. This Central Division matchup will be broadcast on ESPN+. Dallas opens as the home favorite at -180 on the moneyline, while St. Louis comes back at +150. The total is set at 5.5 goals with the Over priced at -130 and the Under at +110, and the puck line lists the Blues +1.5 at -170 with the Stars -1.5 at +142. Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for more daily NHL betting insights.

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St. Louis Trying To Steady The Ship On The Road

St. Louis enters this matchup with a 19-23-8 overall record and has struggled away from home at 7-14-3 on the road. Over their last five games, the Blues have recently lost to the Jets, Oilers, and Golden Knights, while also recently winning over the Lightning in a shootout and shutting out the Hurricanes, showing flashes of defensive discipline mixed with offensive inconsistency.

From a statistical perspective, St. Louis is averaging just 2.40 goals per game while allowing 3.38 goals against. They generate 24.7 shots per game and give up 28.1 shots against, which often puts them on the back foot for extended stretches.

Special teams have been a concern for the Blues. Their power play sits at 16.5% with 22 goals scored, while their penalty kill has dropped to 74.8%. One bright spot has been their aggressive shorthanded play, as they’ve scored five shorthanded goals without allowing one against.

Dallas Looking To Reassert Home-Ice Control

Dallas comes into this contest with a strong 28-13-9 overall record and a solid 13-7-3 mark on home ice. In their last five games, the Stars have recently won over the Bruins and Kings, while also recently losing to the Lightning, Utah, and Ducks, reflecting a brief dip after a strong stretch earlier in the month.

Offensively, Dallas is producing 3.32 goals per game while allowing just 2.76 goals against. They average 25.4 shots per game and concede 27.6 shots against, relying more on efficiency and structure than volume shooting.

The Stars’ power play has been a major difference-maker this season. They’ve scored 42 power play goals with an elite 29.2% conversion rate, which can quickly tilt games in their favor. While the penalty kill sits at 79.6%, their ability to capitalize with the man advantage often offsets that weakness.

St. Louis Blues vs Dallas Stars Pick

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St. Louis Blues vs Dallas Stars Pick

  • Pick: Dallas Stars -1.5 (+142)

Dallas holds clear advantages in offensive depth, special teams efficiency, and overall consistency. With St. Louis struggling to score and Dallas owning one of the league’s best power plays, the Stars are well positioned to win this game by multiple goals at home.

St. Louis Blues vs Dallas Stars Total Pick

  • Pick: Under 5.5 goals

I’m taking the Under here because St. Louis has had ongoing scoring issues and Dallas tends to control games defensively when playing from ahead. If the Stars dictate pace early, this matchup profiles as a lower-scoring contest that stays under the posted total.

Final Score Prediction: Stars 4, Blues 1

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Thursday.

How To Bet This Matchup

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