St. Louis Blues vs Dallas Stars Picks and Predictions for Wednesday February 4 2026
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The St. Louis Blues head to Texas to face the Dallas Stars on Wednesday, February 4, 2026, with puck drop scheduled for 9:30 PM ET at the American Airlines Center. This Central Division matchup will be televised on TNT (also listed on TNT/HBO Max). On the odds board, St. Louis is priced at +195 on the moneyline while Dallas is a sizable home favorite at -238. The total is set at 5.5 goals (Over -130 / Under +110), and the puck line shows St. Louis +1.5 (-115) with Dallas -1.5 (-105). For more daily betting coverage and matchup breakdowns, be sure to check out our free NHL picks.
St. Louis Searching for Stability on the Road
St. Louis enters this matchup with a 20-27-9 overall record and has struggled away from home at 7-16-3. In their last five games, the Blues have recently lost to Nashville, Columbus, Dallas, and Los Angeles (in a shootout), while picking up a home win over Florida. That stretch highlights how difficult it’s been for St. Louis to close games, particularly when facing teams with strong special teams and depth.
From a statistical standpoint, St. Louis is averaging 2.54 goals per game while allowing 3.48, and they generate 25.2 shots per contest while giving up 27.7. Their power play has converted at 17.6%, while the penalty kill has struggled at 73.2%. Despite those numbers, the Blues have managed to score 5 short-handed goals, showing flashes of aggressive forechecking even when down a man.
The issue for St. Louis has been defensive breakdowns late in games. When pressure builds, they’ve had trouble protecting leads or keeping games within one goal. On the road against a disciplined Dallas team, those mistakes become even more costly.
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Dallas Leaning on Depth and Special Teams
Dallas comes into Wednesday night with a 33-14-9 overall record and a strong 15-7-3 mark at home. Over the last five games, the Stars have recently won over Winnipeg (in overtime), Utah, Vegas (in a shootout), and St. Louis twice, showing clear control of this matchup in recent meetings.
Statistically, Dallas is scoring 3.29 goals per game while allowing just 2.73, and they average 25.5 shots per game while giving up 27.0. The Stars’ power play has been a major weapon, converting at an elite 29.9% with 49 goals, while the penalty kill sits at a solid 80.0%. That special-teams edge has been decisive in several recent wins.
Dallas’ defining strength is efficiency. They don’t need overwhelming shot volume to score, and when opponents take penalties, the Stars are ruthless. At home, that balance between discipline, scoring depth, and special teams makes them extremely difficult to beat.
St. Louis Blues vs Dallas Stars Pick
St. Louis Blues vs Dallas Stars Pick
- Dallas Stars -1.5 (-105)
I’m backing Dallas on the puck line. The Stars have already beaten St. Louis twice recently and hold clear advantages in special teams, defensive consistency, and home-ice efficiency. With St. Louis struggling on the road, Dallas is well-positioned to create separation and win by multiple goals.
St. Louis Blues vs Dallas Stars Total Pick
- Under 5.5 (+110)
I’m taking the under 5.5. Dallas plays a structured, efficient game at home, and St. Louis has struggled to generate consistent offense on the road. If the Stars get out in front, they’re comfortable locking things down and limiting scoring chances.
Final Score Prediction:
Dallas Stars 3, St. Louis Blues 1
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Tuesday.
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