St. Louis Blues vs Edmonton Oilers Picks and Predictions for Sunday January 18 2026
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The St. Louis Blues head north to face the Edmonton Oilers at Rogers Place on Sunday, January 18, 2026, with puck drop scheduled for 8:00 PM EST on ESPN+. Edmonton enters as the home favorite with the Oilers -185 on the moneyline, while the Blues are +154. The total is set at 6.5 goals with the Over at +105 and the Under at -125, and the puck line lists Blues +1.5 (-162) against Oilers -1.5 (+136). Make sure to check out our free NHL picks for more daily NHL betting insights.
St. Louis Searching For Consistency On The Road
St. Louis comes into this matchup with a 19-21-8 overall record and has struggled away from home at 7-12-3 on the road. Over their last five games, the Blues have recently won over the Lightning in a shootout and shut out the Hurricanes, but they’ve also recently lost to the Golden Knights, Mammoth, and Blackhawks. That stretch shows flashes of defensive structure mixed with breakdowns when pressure ramps up.
From a statistical standpoint, the Blues are averaging 2.48 goals per game while allowing 3.35 goals against, which puts them at a clear deficit when playing higher-powered offenses. They are generating 24.7 shots per game and allowing 28.4 shots against, and their power play sits at 16.8% with 21 power play goals, while the penalty kill has allowed 30 power play goals against with a 76% success rate.
The one area St. Louis can point to as a positive is short-handed production, as they’ve scored five short-handed goals, showing they can occasionally flip momentum even when playing on their heels.
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Edmonton’s Offense Creates Matchup Problems
Edmonton enters with a 23-17-8 overall record and has been strong at home at 11-6-4. In their last five games, the Oilers have recently beaten the Jets and Blackhawks, with losses coming against the Islanders, Predators in overtime, and Kings in a shootout. While the results have been mixed, Edmonton’s offensive ceiling remains evident.
Team stats show Edmonton averaging 3.31 goals per game while allowing 3.23, paired with 29.2 shots per game and 27.1 shots against. The Oilers’ power play is the clear headliner, producing 44 power play goals with an elite 33.3% conversion rate, while their penalty kill has held at 79.7% and allowed 27 power play goals against.
Edmonton’s ability to tilt the ice with volume shooting and convert special teams chances gives them a built-in advantage, especially against a St. Louis team that has struggled defensively on the road.
St. Louis Blues vs Edmonton Oilers Pick
St. Louis Blues vs Edmonton Oilers Pick
- Pick: Edmonton Oilers -185 (Moneyline)
I’m backing Edmonton on the moneyline because the matchup heavily favors their offensive strengths against St. Louis’ defensive weaknesses. The Oilers’ elite power play lines up perfectly against a Blues penalty kill that has already surrendered 30 power play goals, and playing at home only amplifies that edge. Edmonton doesn’t need a perfect game to win this one — they just need their special teams to do what they usually do.
St. Louis Blues vs Edmonton Oilers Total Pick
- Pick: Over 6.5 (+105)
I’m taking the Over because Edmonton games tend to open up quickly, especially when the power play is involved. St. Louis allows 3.35 goals per game, and Edmonton gives up 3.23, which creates a realistic path to both teams contributing to the total. Even if the Blues don’t explode offensively, Edmonton is capable of doing most of the scoring themselves.
Final Score Prediction: Oilers 5, Blues 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.
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