St. Louis Blues vs Ottawa Senators Picks and Predictions for Saturday, December 6, 2025
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The St. Louis Blues head into Ottawa on Saturday night looking to halt a rough stretch, while the Senators try to regain their footing after a home loss to the Rangers. This matchup features two teams trending in opposite directions statistically, but both capable of generating offense when their top players are rolling. As always, you can get additional betting leans and updated analysis on our free NHL Picks page.
Team Breakdown: Blues Searching for Stability, Senators Fighting for Consistency
The Blues enter at 9-12-7 with a 4-6-3 road record, and their biggest obstacle remains offensive production. St. Louis averages just 2.56 goals per game while allowing 3.44, creating a negative scoring gap that has shown up prominently during recent outings. Goaltending has been inconsistent: Jordan Binnington sits at 3.20 GAA with an .874 SV%, and Joel Hofer has been only slightly stronger at 3.29 GAA and .882 SV%. The Blues rely heavily on Robert Thomas—their leading scorer with 17 points—but his status is day-to-day, which could further weaken their offensive structure.
Ottawa enters at 13-10-4 and plays well at home (6-4-2), powered by a dangerous forward group that averages 3.12 goals per game. While the Senators also give up their fair share defensively (3.31 GA/G), the combination of Tim Stützle (24 points), Shane Pinto (12 goals), and strong blue-line support from Jake Sanderson (17 assists) gives Ottawa more scoring depth than St. Louis. In goal, Linus Ullmark carries a 3.05 GAA and .876 save percentage, while Levi Meriläinen offers a similar statistical profile at 3.40 GAA.
Recent Performance and Key Factors to Watch
St. Louis has dropped back-to-back games, including a 5–2 loss to Boston and a 4–1 defeat to Anaheim, while scoring just three total goals across those matchups. Their lone recent highlight—a 1–0 victory over Utah—was overshadowed by more defensive breakdowns in subsequent games. Special teams remain mediocre, sitting at 19.2% on the power play and 76.6% on the penalty kill, neither of which gives them an edge in this matchup.
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Ottawa, meanwhile, has alternated sharp performances with off nights. They logged a strong 5–2 win at Montreal, but followed it up with a 4–2 loss at home to the Rangers. Their power play has been respectable at 21.3%, but their penalty kill has been a problem area at 68.4%, one of the weaker marks in the league. However, given that St. Louis struggles to generate sustained pressure, Ottawa’s PK deficiencies may not be as exposed in this matchup.
Injury concerns favor Ottawa slightly—though the Senators are missing multiple key skaters, including Artem Zub and Thomas Chabot, they still possess more depth scoring. St. Louis could be without their top playmaker in Robert Thomas, which significantly alters their offensive potential.
St. Louis Blues vs Ottawa Senators: Picks and Predictions
Template 1 focuses on identifying the stronger overall matchup profile, and right now Ottawa holds edges in scoring depth, home-ice performance, and overall reliability. The Senators produce more high-danger chances, generate more zone time, and possess the more dynamic top-six unit.
St. Louis’ defensive issues and inconsistent goaltending create too many variables to trust them on the road. If Thomas does not suit up, the Blues’ offense may struggle to reach even two goals. Check out all the sportsbook promos to see if you are getting a great deal on your bets on the Blues. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for the Senators with the Kickr promo code. Make sure when you place your bet on Blues vs Senators you are using the BetMGM bonus code.
My Pick: Ottawa Senators Moneyline
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