Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers Picks and Predictions for Tuesday October 13 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 10/13/2026, 12:25 AM ET

Tampa Bay will look to New York for their next victim as the Lightning are visiting the Rangers on Tuesday. The game is set to take place at 7:15 PM EST and is coming live from the world famous Madison Square Gardens. The game is being aired on MSG, The Spot and for out of market fans ESPN+. At the time of this writing the odds had not been released yet. Make sure you are ready for all the NHL action with our free NHL picks.

Lightning Riding A Four Game Win Streak

Tampa Bay bounced back from a loss against the Rangers to open the month with a 4 game winning streak. That has led to the Tampa Bay team posting a 4-1-0 record. On the road the Lightning have ended up sitting at 1-1-0. The last game on the ice for the Tampa Bay team was a 5-3 win on the road against the other New York team, the Islanders.

Tampa Bay has been a team that has ended up putting up a ton of shot volume with a total of 30.2 shots per game and that has converted to 3.2 goals per game. The defense for Tampa has faced a total of 23.8 shots per game. However, the goalies for Tampa have shown up huge giving up only 2.40 goals per game on the year so far. 

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Rangers Look To Stay Perfect At Home

New York has looked very impressive on the season so far with a record of 5-2-0 overall. However, what is very impressive is the power that Madison Square Garden has had for the Rangers who have ended up with a perfect 4-0-0 record on the year. The last game on the ice for the Rangers was a 6-2 home win over the Vancouver Canucks. The game prior to that was a 3-1 road loss to the Washington Capitals.

The defense has been the standout for the Rangers with a total of only 1.86 goals per game allowed on the year. However, the total number of goals allowed is sitting only at 13 on the season, showcasing a powerful defense with a +10 on the differential. The overall goal scoring for the Rangers is sitting at 23 goals on the year or 3.29 per game. When New York plays at home this year they have scored 20 goals and allowed only 7 goals.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers Picks and Predictions

Moneyline Pick — Tampa Bay Lightning

The Rangers dominated the first meeting, winning 5-1 on October 1, but the circumstances have changed considerably. Tampa Bay has responded with four straight victories, and its offense is generating consistent scoring opportunities while holding opponents below 24 shots per game on average. New York has been outstanding at Madison Square Garden, but the loss of Shesterkin and Korpisalo places significant responsibility on a relatively inexperienced goaltending situation. The Lightning have the offensive personnel to exploit that uncertainty, particularly with Hagel and Guentzel coming off strong performances. New York's home record makes this far from automatic, but Tampa Bay's recent form and potential advantage in goal make the visitors my preferred moneyline selection.

Total Pick — Over 5.5 Goals, If Available

Both teams have demonstrated considerable offensive capability, and the Rangers' goaltending situation introduces additional scoring potential for Tampa Bay. The Lightning have scored at least three goals in four straight games, while New York has produced four or more goals in every home contest this season. Their October 1 meeting finished with six goals, and the Rangers' latest victory over Vancouver produced eight. Tampa Bay's defensive play has been strong, but New York's ability to finish scoring opportunities at home makes a shut-down performance less certain. With both offenses capable of producing three or more goals and New York facing unusual uncertainty in net, the over at 5.5 is the stronger total direction.

Final Picks: Tampa Bay Lightning Moneyline | Over 5.5 Goals (target)

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