Tampa Bay Lightning vs Seattle Kraken Picks and Predictions for Tuesday March 17 2026
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The Tampa Bay Lightning travel to take on the Seattle Kraken at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA, with puck drop set for 10:00 PM on TNT and HBO Max. Tampa Bay enters as a -198 favorite, while Seattle is listed at +164, and the total is set at 6.5 goals. Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for more daily betting insights and predictions.
Lightning Bringing Offensive Firepower on the Road
The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this matchup with a 40-21-4 record and a strong 20-9-4 mark on the road. They have had mixed results recently, recently winning over the Detroit Red Wings and Toronto Maple Leafs while recently losing to the Carolina Hurricanes, Columbus Blue Jackets, and Buffalo Sabres. Despite the inconsistency, they remain one of the more dangerous offensive teams.
Tampa Bay is averaging 3.49 goals per game while allowing 2.77, taking 28.1 shots per game and allowing 27.2. Their power play has produced 44 goals with a 21.9% success rate, and their penalty kill sits at 81.6%.
What stands out for Tampa Bay is their scoring ability and overall offensive efficiency. When they are clicking, they can generate goals in bunches and overwhelm opponents, especially with their special teams contributing.
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Kraken Looking to Hold Strong at Home
Seattle enters this game with a 31-26-9 record and a 17-13-5 mark at home. They have had mixed results recently, recently winning over the Florida Panthers and Vancouver Canucks while recently losing to the Colorado Avalanche, Nashville Predators, and Ottawa Senators. This inconsistency has been a challenge for them.
The Kraken are averaging 2.88 goals per game while allowing 2.96, taking 25.6 shots per game and allowing 29.4. Their power play has generated 41 goals with a 21.4% success rate, but their penalty kill has struggled at 73.6%.
Seattleβs biggest issue has been their defensive consistency, particularly on special teams. Allowing too many opportunities has made it difficult for them to maintain control in games against strong offensive opponents.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Seattle Kraken Pick
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Seattle Kraken Pick
- Tampa Bay Lightning Moneyline (-198)
Tampa Bayβs offensive firepower and road success give them a clear edge in this matchup. While Seattle can be competitive at home, their defensive inconsistencies, especially on the penalty kill, could be exposed by Tampa Bayβs strong power play. The Lightning should be able to control this game and secure the win.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Seattle Kraken Total Pick
- Over 6.5
I like the over in this matchup because Tampa Bay has the ability to score at a high level, and Seattleβs defensive struggles could lead to more scoring opportunities. The Kraken can also contribute offensively at home, making this a game that has strong potential to go over the total.
Final Score Prediction: Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Seattle Kraken 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.
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