Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Picks and Predictions for Tuesday March 10 2026
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The Toronto Maple Leafs travel to face the Montreal Canadiens at Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec on Tuesday, March 10, 2026. The game is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET and will be televised on ESPN+. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for more expert analysis and daily selections from the NHL.
Maple Leafs Searching for Answers on the Road
The Toronto Maple Leafs enter this matchup with a 27-26-11 overall record and an 11-15-4 mark on the road this season. Toronto has struggled significantly in recent games as they recently lost to Tampa Bay 5-2, recently lost to the New York Rangers 6-2, recently lost to New Jersey 4-3 in a shootout, recently lost to Philadelphia 3-2 in a shootout, and recently lost to Ottawa 5-2.
Toronto has been productive offensively this season, averaging 3.14 goals per game, but their defensive play has been inconsistent as they allow 3.48 goals against per game. The Maple Leafs average 27.5 shots per game but allow a concerning 32.0 shots against per contest, putting significant pressure on their defensive structure and goaltending.
Special teams have provided some stability for Toronto. Their power play has scored 29 goals with a 19.3% conversion rate while the penalty kill has been strong at 82.8%. The Leafs have also managed 3 short-handed goals this season while not allowing any short-handed goals against.
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Canadiens Look to Continue Strong Season
Montreal enters this game with a 34-18-10 overall record and a solid 17-11-2 record at home this season. The Canadiens have had an up-and-down stretch recently as they recently won over Los Angeles 4-3, recently lost to Anaheim 6-5 in a shootout, recently lost to San Jose 7-5, recently won over Washington 6-2, and recently lost to the New York Islanders 4-3 in overtime.
The Canadiens have been one of the stronger offensive teams this season, averaging 3.55 goals per game while allowing 3.29 goals against per contest. Montreal averages 26.3 shots per game while allowing 27.6 shots against, showing a fairly balanced shot profile over the course of the season.
Montreal’s power play has been a major weapon with 45 goals and a strong 25.1% success rate. The Canadiens also have produced 7 short-handed goals this season, which shows their ability to create scoring opportunities even while killing penalties.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Pick
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens Pick
- Montreal Canadiens Moneyline
Montreal has been the more consistent team this season and has the advantage playing at Bell Centre. Toronto enters this game on a five-game losing streak and has struggled defensively during that stretch. With Montreal averaging over 3.5 goals per game and Toronto allowing nearly 3.5 goals per game, the Canadiens should be able to generate enough offense to secure the win.
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens Total Pick
- Take the Over if the total is set at 6.5
I expect plenty of offense in this matchup. Both teams play a fairly open style and have shown the ability to score but also give up goals in bunches. Toronto allows a high number of shots while Montreal has a productive power play, which could lead to multiple scoring opportunities throughout the game.
Final Score Prediction: Canadiens 5, Maple Leafs 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.
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